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A Canadian Stock to Watch as 2025 Kicks Off

A Canadian Stock to Watch as 2025 Kicks Off

隨着2025年的到來,一隻值得關注的加拿大股票
The Motley Fool ·  2024/12/24 20:15

With the TSX Index slipping more than 4% to end off what's been an extraordinary year of gains (still up 17.7% year to date), value investors may have an opportunity to take advantage of some of the bargains that Mr. Market may have left under the tree this holiday season. Undoubtedly, a new year also means another $7,000 for investors to contribute to their TFSAs (Tax-Free Savings Accounts).

隨着TSX指數下滑超過4%,結束了這一年的顯著增益(年初至今仍上漲17.7%),價值投資者可能會有機會利用一些假期季節留下的便宜貨。 Mr. Market 毫無疑問,新的一年也意味着投資者可以爲他們的免稅儲蓄賬戶(TFSA)再貢獻7,000加幣。

So, even for those who don't intend on picking anything up in the final few trading weeks of the year, it's a good time to start thinking about what to add to your list as we head into 2025, which will likely be full of bargain stocks.

因此,即使是那些不打算在年尾的最後幾周進行任何交易的人,現在也是開始考慮在2025年進入的股票清單的好時機,2025年可能會充滿便宜股票。

At this juncture, it seems like expectations are relatively muted for 2025. Indeed, we've had quite the run-up in these past two years. And though some, like Fundstrat's Tom Lee, expect a correction to hit at some point in 2025 (he thinks the second half of 2025 is likeliest), investors shouldn't look to time the market's ups and downs. If there's a solid business with a stock that trades at a low valuation, it can make sense to be a big buyer or start doing some nibbling.

在這個階段,2025年的預期似乎相對溫和。的確,過去兩年我們經歷了相當的上漲。雖然像Fundstrat的Tom Lee認爲2025年某個時點會出現修正(他認爲2025年下半年最有可能),但投資者不應該試圖把握市場的漲跌。如果有一家優質的業務,股票的估值較低,成爲大買家或開始少量購買是有意義的。

So, with the Canadian dollar plunging to depths not seen since 2020 (close to US$0.69 after Wednesday's plunge), I think there's never been a better time to bet big on Canadian stocks over U.S. ones for 2025.

因此,隨着加幣暴跌至2020年以來未見的深度(在週三的暴跌後接近0.69美元),我認爲現在無疑是對加拿大股票進行大額押注的最佳時機,勝過美國股票。

TD Bank

TD銀行

TD Bank (TSX:TD) stock is worth watching closely as we enter a new year. Indeed, TD shareholders are happily bidding 2024 farewell, with TD stock lagging behind the broader basket of Big Six names.

隨着我們進入新的一年,TD銀行(TSX:TD)股票值得密切關注。的確,TD的股東愉快地向2024年告別,因爲TD股票落後於大六銀行的整體表現。

At the time of writing, the lagging TD is down close to 13% year to date. All the while, many of its large-cap peers have been surging, upstaging the once-cherished premier bank. Undoubtedly, it's tempting to switch bank stocks at this pivotal moment if you're still hanging onto TD shares. Still, many analysts don't expect TD Bank stock to continue dragging its feet through another year.

在撰寫時,滯後的TD年初至今下跌近13%。與此同時,其衆多大盤股同行正在激增,超越了曾經備受珍視的頂級銀行。毫無疑問,如果你仍然持有TD股票,在這個關鍵時刻換銀行股票是令人心動的。但許多分析師預計,TD銀行的股票不會再繼續拖延過另一個年度。

Only time will tell if all the negativity is baked in at these prices. Either way, one has to think that TD will, in due time, follow the rest of its peers higher as the macro and industry environment looks to improve slightly. The banks have really been surprisingly high performers in recent months.

只有時間才能證明這些消極因素是否已在這些價格中充分反映。不管怎樣,人們不得不認爲TD會在適當時候跟隨其他同行的上漲,因爲宏觀和行業環境似乎會稍有改善。最近幾個月,銀行的表現確實令人驚訝地良好。

Indeed, TD's new incoming CEO, Raymond Chun (a man who's been working at TD for a whopping 30 years), will be put to the test in 2025. And though I have no idea whether he'll be the person to steer TD to higher levels, I do think a new year with a new CEO and more clarity on a new path forward could set the stage for a relief rally of sorts.

確實,TD的新任首席執行官雷蒙德·春(在TD工作了整整30年的人)將在2025年接受考驗。雖然我不知道他是否會成爲引領TD達到更高水平的人,我確實認爲,一個新年、新首席執行官以及對新發展方向的更多清晰度,可能爲某種反彈奠定基礎。

Perhaps a scorching bounce could be in the cards as value-conscious investors look to play the relative underdog in the scene.

也許一場猛烈的反彈有可能發生,因爲注重價值的投資者希望在這個舞臺上參與相對不被看好的股票。

The bottom line

結論

With a 5.1% dividend yield and a depressed multiple, I do view TD as one of the biggest bargains for investors to watch closely entering 2025.

憑藉5.1%的股息收益率和低迷的倍數,我認爲TD是投資者在進入2025年時密切關注的最大廉價股之一。

It could go from an oversized laggard to a leader if the bank takes the proper steps in its next chapter. Though there's no guarantee of success, I think the stock is cheap enough and expectations are low enough such that the odds seem to be in favour of long-term investors.

如果銀行在下一章中採取適當的步驟,它可能會從一個滯後者變成領導者。雖然沒有成功的保證,但我認爲這隻股票足夠便宜,預期也足夠低,因此長期投資者的成功概率似乎較高。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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