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GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600771) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600771) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

廣譽遠中藥股份有限公司(上交所代碼:600771)的股價正在上漲,但財務狀況看起來模糊:這種勢頭會繼續嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  12/25 10:30

GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine (SHSE:600771) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 11% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's ROE today.

廣譽遠中藥(SHSE:600771)在股市上表現出色,過去三個月其股票上漲了顯著的11%。然而,我們擔心公司財務數據的不一致性會對當前的股價走勢產生不利影響。特別是,今天我們將關注廣譽遠中藥的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

ROE或權益回報率是一個有用的工具,用於評估公司如何有效地利用從股東那裏獲得的投資來產生回報。簡而言之,ROE顯示每一美元投資生成的利潤與其股東投資的關係。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine is:

因此,根據上述公式,廣譽遠中藥的ROE爲:

5.0% = CN¥80m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

5.0% = CN¥8000萬 ÷ CN¥16億(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.05 in profit.

「回報」是過去十二個月稅後賺取的金額。可以這樣理解,對於每1元的股東資金,該公司賺取了0.05元的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE爲什麼對凈利潤增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經意識到,ROE作爲公司未來盈利的有效衡量值。根據公司重新投資或「保留」這些利潤的程度,以及公司有效地運用這些利潤的程度,我們就能評估公司的盈利增長潛力。假設其他所有因素保持不變,ROE和利潤保留越高,增長率就會越高,相比於沒有這些特點的公司,公司的增長率就會更高。

GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's Earnings Growth And 5.0% ROE

廣譽遠中藥的 earnings 增長與 5.0% 的 ROE

On the face of it, GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's ROE is not much to talk about. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 7.7% either. For this reason, GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's five year net income decline of 21% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, it is possible that the business has allocated capital poorly or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

從表面上看,廣譽遠中藥的 ROE 並不引人注目。進一步研究顯示,該公司的 ROE 與行業平均水平 7.7% 的比較也不是很好。因此,廣譽遠中藥五年凈利潤下降 21% 是情理之中的,因爲它的 ROE 較低。然而,可能還有其他因素導致 earnings 的下降。例如,業務可能資本分配不當,或者公司有很高的分紅派息比率。

However, when we compared GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.1% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,當我們將廣譽遠中藥的增長與行業進行比較時,我們發現雖然公司的 earnings 一直在縮水,但同期行業的 earnings 增長達到了 9.1%。這十分令人擔憂。

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SHSE:600771 Past Earnings Growth December 25th 2024
SHSE:600771 過去的收益增長 2024年12月25日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

對一家公司的估值基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長有關。投資者應嘗試確定預期的盈利增長或下降,無論是哪種情況,是否已計入價格中。這樣做將有助於他們判斷股票的未來是看起來有前景還是令人擔憂。與其他公司相比,廣譽遠中藥的估值是否合理?以下三項估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

廣譽遠中藥是否有效利用其利潤?

Because GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine doesn't pay any regular dividends, we infer that it is retaining all of its profits, which is rather perplexing when you consider the fact that there is no earnings growth to show for it. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

由於廣譽遠中藥沒有支付任何定期分紅,我們推測它正在保留所有利潤,這在考慮到沒有盈利增長的情況下顯得相當令人困惑。因此,這裏可能存在其他因素在發揮作用,可能對增長造成阻礙。例如,該業務面臨了一些阻力。

Summary

總結

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 1 risk we have identified for GuangYuYuan Chinese Herbal Medicine visit our risks dashboard for free.

總體而言,我們認爲廣譽遠中藥的表現可以有多種解讀。雖然公司確實有較高的利潤保留率,但其較低的回報率可能在阻礙其盈利增長。總結來說,我們會對這家公司謹慎行事,而一種方式是查看該業務的風險概況。要了解我們爲廣譽遠中藥識別出的1個風險,請免費訪問我們的風險儀表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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