RTX (NYSE:RTX) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
RTX (NYSE:RTX) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that RTX Corporation (NYSE:RTX) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
大衛·伊本很恰當地說,'波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。' 所以當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務可能會讓公司陷入困境。我們可以看到RTX公司(紐交所:RTX)確實在其業務中使用債務。但是,更重要的問題是:這些債務創造了多少風險?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時會變得危險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資金還是通過自身的現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還其債權人,它可能會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須在低廉的股票價格下稀釋股東權益,僅僅是爲了控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理管理其債務,並使之對自身有利。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平的結合。
What Is RTX's Debt?
RTX的債務是多少?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, RTX had US$42.1b of debt, up from US$35.2b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has US$6.68b in cash leading to net debt of about US$35.4b.
正如您在下面看到的,到2024年9月底,RTX的債務爲421億美元,較一年前的352億美元有所上升。點擊圖片獲取更多詳情。另一方面,它的現金爲66.8億美元,導致淨債務約爲354億美元。
How Strong Is RTX's Balance Sheet?
RTX的資產負債表有多強?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that RTX had liabilities of US$52.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$49.7b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$6.68b in cash and US$24.8b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$70.5b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到RTX有522億美元的負債將在12個月內到期,以及497億美元的負債將在此之後到期。 另一方面,它有66.8億美元的現金和248億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收款加起來多出705億美元。
This deficit isn't so bad because RTX is worth a massive US$155.5b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
這個赤字並不算太糟糕,因爲RTX的市值高達1555億美元,因此如果需要的話,可能能夠籌集足夠的資本來增強其資產負債表。但我們確實想要保持警惕,以觀察其債務是否帶來了過多的風險。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
爲了評估一家公司的債務相對於其收益的情況,我們計算其淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及息稅利潤(EBIT)與利息費用(即利息覆蓋)的比率。這種方法的優點在於我們同時考慮到債務的絕對數額(使用淨債務與EBITDA的比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息支出(使用利息覆蓋率)。
RTX's debt is 2.8 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 4.4 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. The good news is that RTX grew its EBIT a smooth 56% over the last twelve months. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine RTX's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
RTX的債務是其EBITDA的2.8倍,其EBIT覆蓋利息費用4.4倍。這表明儘管債務水平很高,但我們仍然不會稱其爲有問題。好消息是RTX在過去12個月中,EBIT增長了平穩的56%。像人類善良的牛奶一樣,這種增長提高了彈性,使公司更有能力管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的起點。但未來的收益比任何其他因素更能判斷RTX未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想知道專業人士的看法,可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, RTX produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 72% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,一家公司只能用冷硬的現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。所以邏輯步驟是查看EBIT中實際自由現金流的比例。在過去三年中,RTX產生了相當於其EBIT的72%的強勁自由現金流,差不多是我們所期望的。這種自由現金流讓公司在適當的時候能夠償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
The good news is that RTX's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its net debt to EBITDA does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that RTX can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that RTX is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
好消息是RTX顯示出增長其EBIT的能力,像毛茸茸的小狗讓幼兒快樂一樣讓我們欣喜。但說實話,我們覺得其淨債務與EBITDA的比率確實有些削弱了這種印象。考慮到所有這些,RTX似乎可以輕鬆應對目前的債務水平。積極的一面是,這種槓桿可以提升股東回報,但潛在的 downside 是損失風險增加,因此值得關注資產負債表。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時要關注的重點。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。請注意,RTX在我們的投資分析中顯示出兩個警告信號,你應該知道...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。