Why Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (NYSE:TDY) Could Be Worth Watching
Why Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (NYSE:TDY) Could Be Worth Watching
Teledyne Technologies Incorporated (NYSE:TDY) saw a decent share price growth of 11% on the NYSE over the last few months. The company's trading levels have approached the yearly peak, following the recent bounce in the share price. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company's outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Teledyne Technologies's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
Teledyne Technologies公司(紐交所代碼:TDY)在過去幾個月內的股價增長了11%。公司的交易水平接近年度高點,此前股價剛剛反彈。作爲一家高市值的股票,分析師的覆蓋率很高,可以假設公司前景的任何最近變化已經反映在股票價格中。但如果仍然有買入的機會呢?今天我們將分析Teledyne Technologies最新的前景和估值數據,以了解機會是否仍然存在。
Is Teledyne Technologies Still Cheap?
Teledyne Technologies 仍然便宜嗎?
According to our valuation model, Teledyne Technologies seems to be fairly priced at around 14% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Teledyne Technologies today, you'd be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company's true value is $554.50, then there isn't much room for the share price grow beyond what it's currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Teledyne Technologies's beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company's shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
根據我們的估值模型,Teledyne Technologies的價格似乎公平,約爲我們的內在價值的14%以下,這意味着如果你今天購買Teledyne Technologies,你將支付一個合理的價格。如果你認爲公司的真實價值是554.50美元,那麼股價在目前交易水平之上的增長空間就不大了。儘管如此,未來可能還有買入機會。這是因爲Teledyne Technologies的貝塔值(衡量股價波動性的指標)很高,這意味着其價格波動將相對市場的其他部分被誇大。如果市場對前景看淡,公司股票可能會比市場其他股票下跌得更多,提供了一個絕佳的買入機會。
Can we expect growth from Teledyne Technologies?
我們可以期待Teledyne Technologies的增長嗎?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it's the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Teledyne Technologies, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -2.7%, which doesn't help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
希望在投資組合中尋求增長的投資者可能想在購買股票之前考慮一家公司的前景。儘管價值投資者會爭辯說,內在價值與價格的相對關係是最重要的,但一個更有說服力的投資論點將是以便宜的價格獲得高增長潛力。然而,就Teledyne Technologies而言,預計其收益將下降2.7%,這並沒有幫助其投資論點。看來,未來的不確定性風險很高,至少在短期內。
What This Means For You
這對你意味着什麼
Are you a shareholder? TDY seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
您是股東嗎?現在TDY的價格似乎合理,但考慮到未來的負回報帶來的不確定性,現在可能是降低您的投資組合風險的合適時機。您目前對股票的投資是否對您的整個投資組合最優?持有一個看淡前景的股票的機會成本是否太高?在您做出有關股票的決定之前,查看一下其基本面是否發生了變化。
Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on TDY for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there's less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven't considered today, which can help gel your views on TDY should the price fluctuate below its true value.
您是潛在投資者嗎?如果您已經關注TDY一段時間,現在可能不是最優的買入時機,因爲它的交易價格接近其合理價值。價格似乎在合理價值處交易,這意味着錯位帶來的好處較小。除了這一點,負增長前景增加了持有該股票的風險。然而,還有其他重要因素我們今天沒有考慮,這些因素可以幫助您在價格波動低於其真實價值時形成對TDY的看法。
So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Teledyne Technologies at this point in time. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Teledyne Technologies, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.
因此,雖然盈利質量很重要,但同樣重要的是考慮Teledyne Technologies目前面臨的風險。在投資風險方面,我們已經識別出Teledyne Technologies的1個警告信號,理解這一點應該是您投資過程的一部分。
If you are no longer interested in Teledyne Technologies, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
如果您對Teledyne Technologies不再感興趣,您可以使用我們的免費平台查看我們列出的超過50只具有高增長潛力的其他股票。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。