Jiangxi Guotai Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603977) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?
Jiangxi Guotai Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603977) Stock Is Going Strong: Is the Market Following Fundamentals?
Most readers would already be aware that Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd's (SHSE:603977) stock increased significantly by 33% over the past three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Specifically, we decided to study Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd's ROE in this article.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
ROE can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd is:
9.1% = CN¥338m ÷ CN¥3.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.09 in profit.
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd's Earnings Growth And 9.1% ROE
At first glance, Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 6.2% which we definitely can't overlook. This certainly adds some context to Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd's moderate 12% net income growth seen over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.
As a next step, we compared Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 4.9%.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
Is Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 30% (or a retention ratio of 70%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.
Additionally, Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd has paid dividends over a period of eight years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 32%. However, Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd's ROE is predicted to rise to 12% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.
Conclusion
Overall, we are quite pleased with Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company has seen significant growth in its earnings backed by a respectable ROE and a high reinvestment rate. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.