Shareholders in AisinoLtd (SHSE:600271) Have Lost 57%, as Stock Drops 4.8% This Past Week
Shareholders in AisinoLtd (SHSE:600271) Have Lost 57%, as Stock Drops 4.8% This Past Week
Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But no-one is immune from buying too high. To wit, the Aisino Co.Ltd. (SHSE:600271) share price managed to fall 59% over five long years. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top.
從統計學上講,長期投資是一個有利可圖的事業。但沒有人能免受高價購買的影響。因此,航天信息(SHSE:600271)的股價在五年間下跌了59%。我們當然對在高位買入的股東表示同情。
Since AisinoLtd has shed CN¥889m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
由於航天信息在過去7天內損失了88900萬人民幣的市值,讓我們看看長期下跌是否是由業務經濟所驅動的。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用巴菲特的話,『船隻將環繞世界航行,但平面地球學會將蓬勃發展。市場上價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異……』通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股票價格變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間變化的。
In the last half decade AisinoLtd saw its share price fall as its EPS declined below zero. Since the company has fallen to a loss making position, it's hard to compare the change in EPS with the share price change. However, we can say we'd expect to see a falling share price in this scenario.
在過去的五年裏,航天信息的股價隨着每股收益下降到零以下而下跌。由於公司已經處於虧損狀態,很難將每股收益的變化與股價的變化進行比較。然而,我們可以說在這種情況下,股價下跌是可以預期的。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在買入或賣出股票之前,我們總是建議仔細審查歷史增長趨勢,詳情請見這裏。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, AisinoLtd's TSR for the last 5 years was -57%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考慮任何給定股票時,考慮總股東回報和股票價格回報是很重要的。股票價格回報僅反映股價變化,而總股東回報則包括分紅的價值(假設已經再投資)和任何折扣資本募集或分拆的利益。因此,對於那些支付慷慨分紅的公司來說,總股東回報通常遠高於股票價格回報。實際上,航天信息在過去5年的總股東回報爲-57%,這超過了前面提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是由於其分紅支付造成的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While the broader market gained around 15% in the last year, AisinoLtd shareholders lost 7.6% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 9% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. You could get a better understanding of AisinoLtd's growth by checking out this more detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.
儘管整體市場在過去一年中上漲了約15%,航天信息的股東卻損失了7.6%(即使包括分紅)。即使是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於關注之前,先看到業務基本指標的改善。然而,去年損失並不如過去五年每年9%的投資者損失那麼糟糕。我們希望在認爲股價會穩定之前,有明確的信息表明公司將會增長。您可以通過查看這張更詳細的歷史圖表,了解航天信息的盈利、營業收入和現金流的增長。
Of course AisinoLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
當然,航天信息可能並不是最值得買入的股票。因此,你可能想看看這個免費的成長股集合。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。