Despite an already strong run, Allwinner Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300458) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 100% in the last year.
Since its price has surged higher, Allwinner TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10.1x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the wider Semiconductor industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 7x and even P/S below 3x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
What Does Allwinner TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Allwinner TechnologyLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
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What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Allwinner TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 53% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 11% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 22% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 49% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we find it concerning that Allwinner TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Allwinner TechnologyLtd's P/S?
Allwinner TechnologyLtd's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
It comes as a surprise to see Allwinner TechnologyLtd trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Allwinner TechnologyLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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