We Think Fujian Funeng (SHSE:600483) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Fujian Funeng (SHSE:600483) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Fujian Funeng Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600483) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously 說過,'波動性遠不等同於風險。' 所以看起來聰明的錢知道債務 - 通常與破產有關 - 是判斷一家公司風險的重要因素。我們注意到福能股份(SHSE:600483)確實在資產負債表上有債務。但是,股東應該擔心它的債務使用嗎?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務帶來風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務在企業難以還清時,通常會助力企業,或者通過新的資本或自由現金流來償還。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。雖然這並不常見,但我們確實經常看到負債公司因貸方迫使他們以低價融資而永久稀釋股東的股權。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理管理其債務,並利用債務爲自己帶來利益。在考慮一個企業使用多少債務時,首先要查看其現金和債務的情況。
How Much Debt Does Fujian Funeng Carry?
福能股份承擔了多少債務?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Fujian Funeng had CN¥18.4b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥19.4b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥5.20b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥13.2b.
您可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數字,但它顯示福能股份在2024年9月的債務爲184億人民幣,比一年前的194億人民幣下降。另一方面,它的現金爲52億人民幣,導致淨債務約爲132億人民幣。
A Look At Fujian Funeng's Liabilities
福能股份的負債狀況
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fujian Funeng had liabilities of CN¥5.51b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥15.7b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.20b and CN¥5.33b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥10.7b.
從最新的資產負債表中我們可以看到,福能股份的流動負債爲55.1億人民幣,且有157億人民幣的負債到期時間在一年之後。另一方面,它有52億人民幣的現金和53.3億人民幣的應收款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(短期)應收款總和107億人民幣。
Fujian Funeng has a market capitalization of CN¥26.9b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
福能股份的市值爲269億人民幣,因此如果需要的話,它很可能可以籌集現金來改善其資產負債表。但很明顯,我們應該仔細檢查它是否能在不稀釋的情況下管理其債務。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
爲了評估一家公司的債務與其收益的關係,我們計算其淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及息稅前利潤(EBIT)與利息費用的比率(即利息覆蓋率)。通過這種方式,我們考慮了債務的絕對數量和所支付的利率。
We'd say that Fujian Funeng's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.4), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 1k times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. One way Fujian Funeng could vanquish its debt would be if it stops borrowing more but continues to grow EBIT at around 16%, as it did over the last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Fujian Funeng's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
我們認爲福能股份適度的淨債務與EBITDA比率(爲2.4)表明在債務方面的謹慎。其EBIT達到利息支出的0.1萬倍,意味着其債務負擔輕如孔雀羽毛。福能股份消除其債務的一種方式是停止借貸,但繼續以約16%的速度增長EBIT,就像過去一年那樣。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個開始的地方。但未來的收益,尤其是將判斷福能股份未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想知道專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Fujian Funeng produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 57% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,雖然稅務局可能熱衷於會計利潤,但貸方只接受真實的現金。因此,我們總是檢查EBIT中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去三年中,福能股份產生了堅實的自由現金流,佔其EBIT的57%,這大致是我們所期待的。這可觀的現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
The good news is that Fujian Funeng's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its net debt to EBITDA does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that Fujian Funeng can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Fujian Funeng , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
好消息是,福能股份展示出用其EBIT覆蓋利息支出的能力,這讓我們像一隻蓬鬆的小狗給幼兒帶來快樂一樣感到高興。但說實話,我們覺得它的淨債務與EBITDA的比率確實在一定程度上削弱了這種印象。綜合考慮所有這些因素,福能股份似乎可以輕鬆應對目前的債務水平。當然,雖然這種槓桿可以提高股本回報,但確實帶來了更多風險,因此值得關注這一點。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個開始的地方。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠不是如此。我們已經識別出福能股份的3個警告信號,理解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。