Despite an already strong run, Cultural Investment Holdings Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600715) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 112% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 84%.
Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Entertainment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 7.6x, you may consider Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 19.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 31%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 42% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Cultural Investment HoldingsLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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