China Reinsurance (Group)'s (HKG:1508) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 112% Return Over the Last Year
China Reinsurance (Group)'s (HKG:1508) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 112% Return Over the Last Year
Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But you can significantly boost your returns by picking above-average stocks. For example, the China Reinsurance (Group) Corporation (HKG:1508) share price is up 96% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 21% (not including dividends). That's a solid performance by our standards! However, the stock hasn't done so well in the longer term, with the stock only up 18% in three years.
被動投資於指數基金可以產生與整體市場大致相當的回報。但是,通過選擇優於平均水平的股票,您可以顯著提升收益。例如,中國再保險(集團)公司(HKG:1508)的股價在過去一年中上漲了96%,明顯超過了約21%的市場回報(不包括分紅)。按照我們的標準,這是一個穩健的表現!然而,股票在較長期內表現不佳,三年來僅上漲了18%。
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
現在值得關注一下公司的基本面,因爲這將幫助我們判斷長期股東回報是否與基礎業務的表現相匹配。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
引用巴菲特的話說:'船隻將航行世界,但平面地球協會將繁榮發展。市場上價格與價值之間的差異將繼續存在...' 一種不完美但簡單的方式來考慮市場對一家公司的看法如何變化,就是比較每股收益(每股收益)與股票價格變動的變化。
China Reinsurance (Group) boasted truly magnificent EPS growth in the last year. While that particular rate of growth is unlikely to be sustained for long, it is still remarkable. We are not surprised the share price is up. To us, inflection points like this are the best time to take a close look at a stock.
中國再保險(集團)在過去一年中實現了真正壯觀的每股收益增長。雖然這種增長率不太可能長期維持,但仍然是值得稱道的。我們並不感到驚訝股價會上漲。對我們來說,像這樣的拐點是密切關注股票的最佳時機。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下圖顯示了EPS隨時間變化的情況(點擊圖像以顯示確切值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of China Reinsurance (Group)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.
值得注意的是,CEO的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。關注CEO的薪酬總是有必要,但更重要的問題是公司是否會隨着時間的推移而增長收益。通過查看中國再保險(集團)收益、營業收入和現金流的交互圖表,可以更深入地探討收益。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, China Reinsurance (Group)'s TSR for the last 1 year was 112%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在分析投資回報時,考慮總股東回報(TSR)與股價回報之間的區別是很重要的。TSR包含任何剝離或折扣融資的價值,以及任何分紅,前提是這些分紅被再投資。因此,對於支付慷慨分紅的公司來說,TSR通常要高於股價回報。中國再保險(集團)在過去一年中的TSR爲112%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。這表明公司支付的分紅提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's nice to see that China Reinsurance (Group) shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 112% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Notably the five-year annualised TSR loss of 2% per year compares very unfavourably with the recent share price performance. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Reinsurance (Group) better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - China Reinsurance (Group) has 3 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
很高興看到中國再保險(集團)的股東在過去一年中獲得了112%的總股東回報。當然,這包括了分紅。值得注意的是,五年年化TSR每年損失2%與最近的股價表現相比非常不利。長期損失讓我們感到謹慎,但短期TSR的增長無疑暗示了更光明的未來。跟蹤股價表現的長期趨勢總是很有趣。但爲了更好地了解中國再保險(集團),我們需要考慮很多其他因素。例如,風險——中國再保險(集團)有3個警示信號(還有2個讓我們感到不安的信號),我們認爲您應該知道。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一樣,那麼你一定不想錯過這份內部人士正在購買的被低估的小型股免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。