FirstEnergy (NYSE:FE) Has No Shortage Of Debt
FirstEnergy (NYSE:FE) Has No Shortage Of Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies FirstEnergy Corp. (NYSE:FE) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
大衛·伊本說得很好,『波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久性損失。』在評估一家公司風險時,自然會考慮其資產負債表,因爲當業務崩潰時,往往涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,第一能源公司(NYSE:FE)也使用債務。但這個債務對股東來說是一個問題嗎?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業成長的一種工具,但如果企業無法償還其貸款人,那麼它就處於貸款人的控制之下。如果情況真的很糟糕,貸款人可以控制該企業。然而,更常見(但依然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,以便控制債務。當然,許多公司利用債務促進增長,而沒有任何負面後果。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要查看其現金和債務的情況。
How Much Debt Does FirstEnergy Carry?
第一能源承擔了多少債務?
As you can see below, FirstEnergy had US$23.7b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
如您所見,截至2024年9月,第一能源的債務爲237億美元,這與前一年大致相同。您可以點擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。淨債務大致相同,因爲它幾乎沒有現金。
How Strong Is FirstEnergy's Balance Sheet?
第一能源的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that FirstEnergy had liabilities of US$5.47b due within a year, and liabilities of US$31.6b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$439.0m and US$1.78b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$34.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的資產負債表數據表明,第一能源在一年內到期的負債爲54.7億美元,隨後到期的負債爲316億美元。另一方面,它擁有現金43900萬美元和17.8億美元的應收賬款(在一年內到期)。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款總和多348億美元。
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$23.0b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, FirstEnergy would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
這裏的不足使得這家230億美元的公司承受着巨大的壓力,就像一個孩子在沉重的揹包下掙扎,揹包裏裝滿了書籍、運動器材和小號。因此,我們毫無疑問地會密切關注它的資產負債表。歸根結底,如果第一能源的債權人要求償還,可能需要進行大規模的再資本化。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們使用兩個主要指標來告知我們債務水平與盈利的關係。第一個是淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,而第二個是其息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用(或其利息覆蓋,簡稱)。這種方法的優點在於我們考慮了債務的絕對數量(通過淨債務與EBITDA比率)和與該債務相關的實際利息費用(通過其利息覆蓋比率)。
FirstEnergy shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (5.9), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 2.0 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even more troubling is the fact that FirstEnergy actually let its EBIT decrease by 7.7% over the last year. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine FirstEnergy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
第一能源的股東面臨着淨債務與EBITDA比率高(5.9)和利息覆蓋率相對較弱的雙重打擊,因爲EBIT僅爲利息支出的2.0倍。這意味着我們認爲它的債務負擔沉重。更令人擔憂的是,第一能源實際上讓其EBIT在過去一年中下降了7.7%。如果繼續這樣下去,償還債務就像在跑步機上奔跑——耗費大量精力卻幾乎沒有推進。當分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點關注的領域。但影響第一能源維持健康資產負債表能力的,更多是未來的收益。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,了解分析師的盈利預測。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, FirstEnergy burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤是遠遠不夠的。因此,邏輯步驟是查看EBIT與實際自由現金流的比例。在過去三年中,第一能源消耗了大量現金。雖然投資者無疑期待在適當時候這種情況會有所逆轉,但這顯然意味着其債務使用更加風險。
Our View
我們的觀點
To be frank both FirstEnergy's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its interest cover fails to inspire much confidence. It's also worth noting that FirstEnergy is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think FirstEnergy has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for FirstEnergy that you should be aware of.
坦率地說,第一能源的淨債務與EBITDA的比率以及將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的記錄讓我們對其債務水平感到相當不安。甚至其利息保障倍數也不太讓人放心。值得注意的是,第一能源屬於電力公用股行業,這通常被視爲相當防禦性的行業。考慮到討論的數據點,我們認爲第一能源的債務過多。這種風險對某些人來說是可以接受的,但它肯定不符合我們的胃口。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個明顯的起點。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。例如,我們已經識別到第一能源存在2個警告信號,您應該注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來發現我們獨家的淨現金成長股票列表。
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。