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Private Companies in Sinotrans Limited (HKG:598) Are Its Biggest Bettors, and Their Bets Paid off as Stock Gained 3.1% Last Week

Private Companies in Sinotrans Limited (HKG:598) Are Its Biggest Bettors, and Their Bets Paid off as Stock Gained 3.1% Last Week

中國外運(港股代碼:598)中的私人公司是其最大的賭注者,他們的投資在上週得到了回報,股票上漲了3.1%
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/28 07:03

Key Insights

關鍵洞察

  • Sinotrans' significant private companies ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • The largest shareholder of the company is China Merchants Group Limited with a 59% stake
  • 18% of Sinotrans is held by Institutions
  • 中國外運的私營公司持股比例較高,表明關鍵決策受到大型股東的影響。
  • 公司的最大股東是招商集團有限公司,持股比例爲59%。
  • 18%的中國外運股份由機構持有。

If you want to know who really controls Sinotrans Limited (HKG:598), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. With 60% stake, private companies possess the maximum shares in the company. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

如果你想知道誰真正控制中國外運(HKG:598),那麼你需要查看其股權登記的組成。持有60%股份的私營公司在公司中擁有最多的股份。也就是說,如果股票上漲,該集團將獲得最大利益(如果下跌則損失最大)。

Clearly, private companies benefitted the most after the company's market cap rose by HK$798m last week.

顯然,在公司市值上週增加了79800萬港元后,私營公司受益最多。

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Sinotrans.

在下面的圖表中,我們詳細查看了中國外運的不同持股群體。

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SEHK:598 Ownership Breakdown December 27th 2024
香港證券交易所:598 持股分佈 2024年12月27日

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Sinotrans?

機構持股告訴我們關於中國外運什麼?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

機構通常在向自己的投資者報告時,會與基準進行比較,因此一旦股票被納入主要指數,他們通常對該股票會更加熱情。我們預期大多數公司在登記時都會有一些機構,尤其是當它們正在增長時。

We can see that Sinotrans does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This can indicate that the company has a certain degree of credibility in the investment community. However, it is best to be wary of relying on the supposed validation that comes with institutional investors. They too, get it wrong sometimes. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Sinotrans, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

我們可以看到,中國外運確實有機構投資者,他們持有公司股票的相當一部分。這可能表明公司在投資社區中具有一定的可信度。然而,依賴機構投資者所帶來的假定驗證最好保持謹慎。他們有時也會犯錯。如果兩家大型機構投資者試圖同時賣出一隻股票,那麼其股價大幅下跌並不罕見。因此,值得查看中國外運過去的盈利軌跡(如下所示)。當然,也要記住還有其他因素需要考慮。

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SEHK:598 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 27th 2024
SEHK:598 盈利和營業收入增長 2024年12月27日

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Sinotrans. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is China Merchants Group Limited with 59% of shares outstanding. This implies that they have majority interest control of the future of the company. With 4.5% and 2.4% of the shares outstanding respectively, Fidelity International Ltd and LSV Asset Management are the second and third largest shareholders.

我們注意到對中國外運的對沖基金沒有實質性投資。根據我們的數據,最大的股東是招商證券集團有限公司,擁有59%的已發行股份。這意味着他們對公司的未來具有控股權。富達國際有限公司和LSV資產管理公司分別持有4.5%和2.4%的已發行股份,是第二和第三大股東。

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

雖然研究一家公司機構的所有權數據是有意義的,但研究分析師的看法也同樣重要,以了解市場的動態。很多分析師關注這隻股票,因此查看他們的預測也可能是值得的。

Insider Ownership Of Sinotrans

中國外運的內部股權

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

內部人的定義在不同國家之間可能略有不同,但董事會成員總是算作內部人。公司管理層負責運營業務,但首席執行官將向董事會負責,即使他或她是董事會的成員。

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

我通常認爲內部人擁有股份是一件好事。然而,在某些情況下,這使得其他股東更難讓董事會對決策負責。

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Sinotrans Limited in their own names. But they may have an indirect interest through a corporate structure that we haven't picked up on. It's a big company, so even a small proportional interest can create alignment between the board and shareholders. In this case insiders own HK$142m worth of shares. It is good to see board members owning shares, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying.

我們的數據顯示,內部人士以自己名義持有的中國外運股份不足1%。但他們可能通過我們尚未發現的公司結構間接擁有利益。這是一家大公司,所以即使是小比例的利益也能在董事會和股東之間創造一致性。在這種情況下,內部人士擁有價值HK$14200萬的股份。看到董事會成員持有股份是好的,但值得檢查這些內部人士是否有在買入。

General Public Ownership

公衆持股

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 22% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

公衆---包括散戶投資者---持有公司22%的股份,因此不能輕易被忽視。雖然這一群體不一定能做主,但他們確實能夠對公司的運營產生實際影響。

Private Company Ownership

私有公司所有權

We can see that Private Companies own 60%, of the shares on issue. It might be worth looking deeper into this. If related parties, such as insiders, have an interest in one of these private companies, that should be disclosed in the annual report. Private companies may also have a strategic interest in the company.

我們可以看到,私人公司持有60%的已發行股票。值得進一步深入研究。如果相關方,比如內幕人士,對這些私人公司有興趣,應該在年度報告中披露。私人公司也可能對該公司有戰略利益。

Next Steps:

下一步:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Sinotrans better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks for example - Sinotrans has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

我們始終應該考慮擁有公司股票的不同團體。但要更好地理解中國外運,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。比如,風險 - 中國外運有 1 個我們認爲您應當了解的警告信號。

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

如果你像我一樣,你可能想考慮這家公司是會增長還是縮小。幸運的是,你可以查看這份免費的報告,了解分析師對其未來的預測。

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

注意:本文中的數字是根據過去十二個月的數據計算得出的,指的是截至財務報表日期的月份最後一天的12個月期間。這可能與完整年度的年報數字不一致。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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