We Think CMST DevelopmentLtd (SHSE:600787) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
We Think CMST DevelopmentLtd (SHSE:600787) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies CMST Development Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600787) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,他提到,與其擔心股價波動,不如關注「永久性損失的可能性是我擔心的風險……而我認識的每個務實投資者也都在擔心這一點。」所以聰明的錢知道,債務——通常與破產有關——在評估公司的風險時是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,中儲股份有限公司(SHSE:600787)也利用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多少風險?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆還清時才會成爲真正的問題,要麼是通過籌集資金,要麼是通過自身的自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款方可能會控制業務。然而,更常見(但依然痛苦)的情形是,公司必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。儘管如此,最常見的情況是公司合理管理其債務,並利用這一優勢。當我們審視債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平的結合。
What Is CMST DevelopmentLtd's Debt?
中儲股份有限公司的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CMST DevelopmentLtd had debt of CN¥2.53b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥2.95b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.31b in cash, leading to a CN¥780.5m net cash position.
下面的圖像可以點擊查看詳細信息,顯示截至2024年9月底中儲股份的債務爲25.3億人民幣,比一年前的29.5億人民幣有所減少。但另一方面,它還有33.1億人民幣的現金,導致淨現金位置爲78050萬人民幣。
How Strong Is CMST DevelopmentLtd's Balance Sheet?
中儲股份有限公司的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that CMST DevelopmentLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.89b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.11b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.31b and CN¥5.31b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥393.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,中儲股份有限公司的負債爲58.9億元,需在一年內償還,31.1億元的負債則在之後到期。另一方面,它的現金爲33.1億元,還有53.1億元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出39310萬元。
Given CMST DevelopmentLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥14.6b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, CMST DevelopmentLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
考慮到中儲股份有限公司的市值爲146億元,難以相信這些負債會構成太大威脅。然而,我們確實認爲關注其資產負債表的強度是值得的,因爲它可能會隨時間而變化。儘管負債相當顯著,中儲股份有限公司依然擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說它並沒有承擔沉重的債務負擔!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that CMST DevelopmentLtd has boosted its EBIT by 30%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since CMST DevelopmentLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
此外,我們很高興地報道,中儲股份有限公司的EBIT增長了30%,從而降低了未來債務償還的威脅。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。但不能孤立地看待債務;因爲中儲股份有限公司需要盈利來償還這些債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得關注盈利趨勢。點擊這裏查看互動快照。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While CMST DevelopmentLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, CMST DevelopmentLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最後,一家企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;僅靠會計利潤是不夠的。雖然中儲股份有限公司在其資產負債表上擁有淨現金,但仍然值得考察其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們理解它積累(或削減)現金餘額的速度。值得慶幸的是,在過去三年中,中儲股份有限公司實際產生的自由現金流超過了EBIT。這種強勁的現金轉化讓我們像在Daft Punk音樂會上一樣興奮,當節拍響起時人群的狂熱。
Summing Up
總結
We could understand if investors are concerned about CMST DevelopmentLtd's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥780.5m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥245m, being 184% of its EBIT. So we don't think CMST DevelopmentLtd's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that CMST DevelopmentLtd is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
我們可以理解投資者對中儲股份負債的擔憂,但可以放心的是,它的淨現金爲78050萬人民幣。而且它給我們留下了深刻的印象,自由現金流達到24500萬人民幣,相當於其息稅前利潤的184%。所以我們認爲中儲股份的負債使用並不風險。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表外的風險。請注意,中儲股份在我們的投資分析中顯示出3個警告信號,您需要了解...
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。
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