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Is MGI Tech (SHSE:688114) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

Is MGI Tech (SHSE:688114) Using Debt In A Risky Way?

MGI科技(SHSE:688114)是否以危險的方式使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/29 09:02

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, MGI Tech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688114) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

受到伯克希爾·哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李 Lu 直言不諱地說:'最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。' 在研究一家公司風險的同時,考慮其資產負債表是理所當然的,因爲企業崩潰時往往涉及債務。 重要的是,MGI Tech Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688114) 確實有債務。 但股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果一家公司無法償還貸款人,那麼它就處於他們的掌控之中。 資本主義的一個重要部分是'創造性破壞'的過程,失敗的企業會被其銀行無情清算。 然而,更常見(但依然痛苦)的情景是,企業不得不以低價籌集新股本,從而永久性稀釋股東。 話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理管理其債務——並且對其自身有利。 在考慮一家公司使用多少債務時,首要做的就是將其現金與債務一起查看。

What Is MGI Tech's Net Debt?

MGI Tech 的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 MGI Tech had debt of CN¥487.1m, up from CN¥299.6m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.62b in cash, leading to a CN¥3.14b net cash position.

下圖可以點擊以獲取更詳細信息,顯示到2024年9月,MGI Tech 的債務爲48710萬人民幣,較一年前的29960萬人民幣有所增加。 另一方面,它還有36.2億人民幣的現金,導致其淨現金頭寸爲31.4億人民幣。

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SHSE:688114 Debt to Equity History December 29th 2024
SHSE:688114 的債務與股本歷史 2024年12月29日

A Look At MGI Tech's Liabilities

MGI科技的負債概覽

According to the last reported balance sheet, MGI Tech had liabilities of CN¥1.28b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥672.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.62b in cash and CN¥1.23b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥2.90b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最近公佈的資產負債表,MGI科技的負債爲12.8億人民幣,12個月內到期的負債爲67230萬元。對此,MGI科技有36.2億人民幣的現金和12.3億人民幣的應收賬款,12個月內到期。因此它可以自豪地說,流動資產比總負債多出29億人民幣。

This short term liquidity is a sign that MGI Tech could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, MGI Tech boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if MGI Tech can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

短期流動性表明,MGI科技可能可以輕鬆償還其債務,因爲其資產負債表並不緊張。簡而言之,MGI科技擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的地方。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定MGI科技能否逐步改善其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

In the last year MGI Tech had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 18%, to CN¥2.6b. We would much prefer see growth.

在過去的一年裏,MGI科技在利息和稅前出現了虧損,實際營業收入減少了18%,降至26億人民幣。我們更希望看到的是增長。

So How Risky Is MGI Tech?

那麼,MGI科技有多危險?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And we do note that MGI Tech had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥1.4b and booked a CN¥873m accounting loss. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of CN¥3.14b. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. Overall, its balance sheet doesn't seem overly risky, at the moment, but we're always cautious until we see the positive free cash flow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for MGI Tech you should know about.

我們毫不懷疑,失利公司通常比盈利公司風險更大。我們注意到,MGI科技在過去一年內出現了息稅前盈利(EBIT)虧損,並且在同一時期,它還出現了14億人民幣的負自由現金流和87300萬元的會計虧損。雖然這確實讓公司有點危險,但重要的是要記住它擁有31.4億人民幣的淨現金。這筆資金意味着公司可以在目前的支出水平下,繼續進行兩年的增長支出。總體而言,目前其資產負債表似乎不是過於風險,但在看到積極的自由現金流之前,我們總是保持謹慎。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到大部分關於債務的信息。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。這些風險可能難以發現。每家公司都有它們,而我們發現MGI科技有一個您應該知道的警告信號。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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