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Is Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.'s (NYSE:YMM) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

Is Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.'s (NYSE:YMM) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Fundamentals In Any Way?

滿幫公司(紐交所:YMM)最近的股票表現是否受到其基本面的影響?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/30 23:06

Most readers would already be aware that Full Truck Alliance's (NYSE:YMM) stock increased significantly by 18% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Full Truck Alliance's ROE today.

大多數讀者可能已經知道,滿幫(紐交所:YMM)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了18%。我們想知道公司的財務數據在這一價格變化中發揮了什麼作用,因爲公司的長期基本面通常決定市場結果。特別是,我們今天將關注滿幫的ROE。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股本回報率或ROE是股東需要考慮的重要因素,因爲它告訴他們自己的資本是如何有效地被再投資的。簡單來說,它衡量的是公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股本回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股東權益回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Full Truck Alliance is:

因此,根據上述公式,滿幫的ROE爲:

8.4% = CN¥3.1b ÷ CN¥37b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

8.4% = CN¥31億 ÷ CN¥370億(基於截止到2024年9月的過去十二個月數據)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.08 in profit.

'收益'是指過去十二個月稅後賺取的金額。另一種理解,它是每1美元的股本,公司能夠賺取0.08美元的利潤。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長有何關係?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

我們已經確定,ROE 是公司未來盈利的有效利潤生成指標。根據公司選擇留存或「保留」的利潤,我們能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。在其他條件相同的情況下,擁有更高權益回報率和利潤留存的公司通常比較沒有這些特徵的公司具有更高的增長率。

Full Truck Alliance's Earnings Growth And 8.4% ROE

滿幫的盈利增長和8.4%的ROE

On the face of it, Full Truck Alliance's ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 15%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. In spite of this, Full Truck Alliance was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 64% in the last five years. Therefore, there could be other reasons behind this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

乍一看,滿幫的ROE並沒有什麼好談的。接下來,與平均行業ROE 15%相比,公司的ROE讓我們感覺更加乏味。儘管如此,滿幫在過去五年中凈利潤的增長速度達到了64%。因此,這種增長背後可能還有其他原因。例如,公司管理層可能做出了一些好的戰略決策,或者公司有着低的分紅派息比例。

We then compared Full Truck Alliance's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 9.0% in the same 5-year period.

我們隨後將滿幫的凈利潤增長與行業進行了比較,很高興地看到該公司的增長數字高於行業,在同樣的五年期間,行業的增長率爲9.0%。

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NYSE:YMM Past Earnings Growth December 30th 2024
紐交所:YMm過往的盈利增長 2024年12月30日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Full Truck Alliance fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

盈利增長是評估股票時需要考慮的重要指標。投資者接下來需要判斷的是,預期的盈利增長或其缺失是否已經反映在股價中。這樣,他們就能知道股票是嚮明朗的藍海發展,還是將面臨泥潭。滿幫在與其他公司相比是否被合理估值?這三個估值指標可能會幫助你做出決定。

Is Full Truck Alliance Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

滿幫是否有效地利用了其留存收益?

Full Truck Alliance's three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 45%, meaning the company retains 55% of its income. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Full Truck Alliance is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

滿幫的三年中位派息比例爲45%,相對適中,這意味着公司保留了55%的凈利潤。這表明其分紅派息得到了良好的保障,考慮到我們上面討論的高增長,滿幫似乎在有效地再投資其盈利。

Along with seeing a growth in earnings, Full Truck Alliance only recently started paying dividends. Its quite possible that the company was looking to impress its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 23% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 12% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

除了盈利的增長之外,滿幫最近才開始支付分紅。很可能公司在尋求給股東留下深刻印象。我們的最新分析師數據表明,該公司的未來派息比例預計將在接下來的三年內降至23%。公司ROE在同一時期內預計將上升至12%,這一點可以用派息比例的下降來解釋。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we do feel that Full Truck Alliance has some positive attributes. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體而言,我們確實認爲滿幫有一些積極的特徵。儘管ROE較低,但公司以高再投資率成功實現了可觀的盈利增長。然而,正如目前分析師的預估所預測的,公司的盈利增長預計將放緩。要了解更多關於該公司最新分析師的預測,請查看此公司分析師預測的可視化圖。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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