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Is Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics (SHSE:688052) A Risky Investment?

Is Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics (SHSE:688052) A Risky Investment?

蘇州諾微電子(SHSE:688052)是一個風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/31 09:16

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688052) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,他提到,與其擔心股價波動,"我擔心的風險是永久性虧損的可能性……這是我認識的每一個實際投資者所擔心的。" 因此,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。與許多其他公司一樣,蘇州諾維森微電子有限公司(SHSE:688052)也在使用債務。但是,更重要的問題是:這種債務帶來了多少風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

何時債務成爲問題?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務在企業能及時償還時會幫助企業,不論是通過新資本還是通過自由現金流。如果情況真的很糟糕,貸款人可能會控制這家公司。然而,一種更常見(但仍然成本高昂)的情況是,公司必須以較低的股價稀釋股東,僅僅是爲了控制債務。當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表着廉價資本,特別是當它替代了在能夠以高回報再投資的公司中的稀釋時。我們在考慮公司使用債務時,首先會看現金和債務的結合。

How Much Debt Does Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics Carry?

蘇州諾維森微電子的債務有多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics had CN¥471.1m of debt, an increase on CN¥301.6m, over one year. But it also has CN¥3.54b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥3.07b net cash.

你可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但它顯示截至2024年9月,蘇州諾維森微電子的債務爲47110萬人民幣,較一年前的30160萬人民幣有所增加。但是,它也有35.4億人民幣的現金來抵消這部分債務,意味着它有30.7億人民幣的淨現金。

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SHSE:688052 Debt to Equity History December 31st 2024
SHSE:688052 的債務與股本歷史 2024年12月31日

How Strong Is Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics' Balance Sheet?

蘇州諾維森微電子的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics had liabilities of CN¥466.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥384.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.54b in cash and CN¥361.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥3.05b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

從最近的資產負債表中可以看到,蘇州諾維森微電子有46680萬元的負債在一年內到期,以及38490萬元的負債在之後到期。相抵的是,該公司的現金爲35.4億,且有36100萬元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此它的流動資產比總負債多出30.5億。

This excess liquidity suggests that Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics is taking a careful approach to debt. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

這一過剩的流動性表明蘇州諾維森微電子在債務方面採取了謹慎的方式。由於其強勁的淨資產狀況,它不大可能面臨貸款方的問題。簡單來說,蘇州諾維森微電子擁有更多的現金而不是債務,無疑是一個它可以安全管理債務的良好跡象。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是關注的重點。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定蘇州諾維森微電子能否隨着時間的推移增強其資產負債表。因此如果你關注未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。

Over 12 months, Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics reported revenue of CN¥1.7b, which is a gain of 20%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

在過去的12個月中,蘇州諾維森微電子的營業收入爲17億,增長了20%,儘管它沒有報告利息和稅項前的盈利。希望公司能夠通過增長實現盈利。

So How Risky Is Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics?

那麼,蘇州諾維森微電子的風險有多大?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥703m of cash and made a loss of CN¥462m. But the saving grace is the CN¥3.07b on the balance sheet. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics may be on a path to profitability. By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards. For riskier companies like Suzhou Novosense Microelectronics I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.

就其本質而言,虧損的公司比那些有長久盈利歷史的公司更具風險。事實上,在過去的12個月裏,蘇州諾維森微電子在利息和稅項前的盈利(EBIT)方面虧損了。確實,在這段時間裏它消耗了70300萬元的現金,並且虧損46200萬元。但值得慶幸的是,資產負債表上有30.7億的資金。這意味着該公司至少可以在目前的消費水平下繼續增長兩年的支出。過去一年營收的強勁增長,可能讓蘇州諾維森微電子走向盈利的道路。通過在這些利潤之前投資,股東們承接了更多的風險,希望獲得更大的回報。對於像蘇州諾維森微電子這樣的高風險公司,我總是喜歡關注長期的利潤和營收趨勢。幸運的是,你可以點擊查看其利潤、營收和經營現金流的互動圖。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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