These 4 Measures Indicate That Griffon (NYSE:GFF) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
These 4 Measures Indicate That Griffon (NYSE:GFF) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Griffon Corporation (NYSE:GFF) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
有些人認爲波動性而非債務是作爲投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特著名地說過,'波動性遠不是風險的同義詞。' 所以看來聰明的資金知道,債務——通常涉及破產——在評估一家公司的風險時是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到格里豐公司(紐交所:GFF)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,這筆債務對股東來說是否是個問題?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務可以幫助業務,直到業務在償還時遇到麻煩,或者通過新資金或自由現金流來償還。資本主義的一部分是『創造性破壞』的過程,失敗的企業被其銀行毫不留情地清算。然而,更常見(但仍舊代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以廉價價格發行股票,永久性稀釋股東的股份,僅僅是爲了保住其資產負債表。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務,並使其受益。當我們考慮公司的債務使用時,我們首先將現金和債務一起考慮。
What Is Griffon's Net Debt?
格里豐的淨債務是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Griffon had US$1.52b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$114.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$1.41b.
下面的圖表可以點擊以獲得更詳細的信息,顯示格里豐在2024年9月有15.2億美金的債務;與前一年差不多。然而,它有11440萬美金的現金來抵消這些債務,導致淨債務約爲14.1億美金。
How Strong Is Griffon's Balance Sheet?
格里豐的資產負債表有多強?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Griffon had liabilities of US$349.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.80b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$114.4m and US$312.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$1.72b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
根據最近報告的資產負債表,格里豐的負債爲34900萬美金,12個月內到期,超出12個月的負債爲18億美金。另一方面,它有11440萬美金現金和31280萬美金的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額超過其現金和短期應收賬款的組合17.2億美金。
Griffon has a market capitalization of US$3.43b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
格里豐的市值爲34.3億美金,因此如果需要,它很可能能夠籌集資金來改善其資產負債表。然而,仔細審視其償債能力仍然是值得的。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我們通過看淨債務與息稅折舊及攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)如何輕鬆地覆蓋利息費用(利息覆蓋)來衡量一家公司相對於其獲利能力的債務負擔。這樣,我們既考慮了債務的絕對量,也考慮了其支付的利率。
Griffon has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.8 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.3 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. On a slightly more positive note, Griffon grew its EBIT at 11% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Griffon can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
格里豐的債務與EBITDA比率爲2.8,其EBIT覆蓋利息支出的次數爲4.3。這表明儘管債務水平相當可觀,我們不至於稱其爲有問題。從稍微積極的角度看,格里豐在過去一年中EBIT增長了11%,進一步增強了其管理債務的能力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個明顯的起點。但最終,未來業務的盈利能力將決定格里豐能否隨着時間推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,其中顯示了分析師的利潤預測。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Griffon recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最後,雖然稅務機關可能喜愛會計利潤,但貸款方只接受真金白銀。因此,合理的步驟是查看EBIT中有多少比例與實際自由現金流相匹配。在最近三年中,格里豐錄得的自由現金流佔其EBIT的58%,這在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅。這使得公司在適當的時候有能力償還債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Both Griffon's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. On the other hand, its net debt to EBITDA makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Griffon's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Griffon .
格里豐在將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力以及其EBIT增長率讓我們放心它能夠處理其債務。另一方面,其淨債務與EBITDA的比率讓我們對其債務感到有些不安。當我們考慮上述所有因素時,我們確實對格里豐的債務使用感到略有謹慎。雖然債務確實有更高潛在回報的好處,但我們認爲股東應該認真考慮債務水平可能使股票風險加大。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的起點。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都源於資產負債表——遠非如此。爲了這個目標,你應該注意到我們發現的格里豐的兩個警告信號。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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