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Morgan Stanley's (NYSE:MS) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 190% Return Over the Last Five Years

Morgan Stanley's (NYSE:MS) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Strong 190% Return Over the Last Five Years

摩根士丹利(紐交所:MS)的投資者將對過去五年強勁的190%回報感到滿意
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/31 21:52

The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. One great example is Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) which saw its share price drive 146% higher over five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 20% gain in the last three months.

在不使用槓桿的情況下,購買公司股票後最糟糕的結果將是損失您投入的所有資金。但當您選擇一家公司真正繁榮時,您可以獲得超過100%的收益。一個很好的例子是摩根士丹利(紐交所:MS),其股價在五年內上漲了146%。對於股東來說,過去三個月的20%增幅也令人滿意。

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

讓我們評估一下過去五年的基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報保持一致。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

雖然有效市場假說仍然會被一些人教授,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。考察市場情緒隨時間變化的一種方法是查看公司股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

During five years of share price growth, Morgan Stanley achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 6.8% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 20% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth.

在五年的股價增長期間,摩根士丹利的每股收益(EPS)複合年增長率爲6.8%。這一EPS增長率低於同期20%的股價增長率。因此,可以合理地假設市場對該業務的看法比五年前更加樂觀。考慮到五年的盈利增長記錄,這並不一定令人驚訝。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的圖像中查看每股收益隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看確切值)。

big
NYSE:MS Earnings Per Share Growth December 31st 2024
紐交所:摩根士丹利 每股收益增長截至2024年12月31日

We know that Morgan Stanley has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Morgan Stanley will grow revenue in the future.

我們知道摩根士丹利最近改善了其底線,但它的營業收入會增長嗎?請查看分析師是否認爲摩根士丹利未來會增長營業收入。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Morgan Stanley, it has a TSR of 190% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

考慮總股東回報以及任何給定股票的股價回報非常重要。總股東回報(TSR)是考慮現金分紅價值(假設收到的任何分紅都被再投資)以及任何折扣融資和分拆的計算價值的回報計算。因此,對於支付豐厚分紅的公司,TSR通常遠高於股價回報。在摩根士丹利的情況下,過去5年其TSR爲190%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。公司的分紅因此提升了總股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that Morgan Stanley has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 40% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 24% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Morgan Stanley is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

很高興看到摩根士丹利在過去12個月內爲股東提供了40%的總股東回報,這包括分紅。這比過去五年的年化回報24%要好,意味着公司的表現最近更佳。在最佳情況下,這可能暗示着一些真正的業務動力,意味着現在可能是更深入了解的好時機。儘管考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響很值得,但還有其他因素更爲重要。儘管如此,請注意摩根士丹利在我們的投資分析中顯示出2個警告信號,你應該知道...

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

如果你喜歡與管理層一起買入股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這個免費的公司名單。(提示:很多公司鮮爲人知,而且估值吸引。)

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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