The $S&P 500 Index (.SPX.US)$ wrapped another remarkably prosperous year on Tuesday, notching a second consecutive year of 20% gains and more than 50 record highs.
All three major indices ended Tuesday in the red, with the S&P 500 down 0.43%, the Nasdaq down 0.9% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average ending the session 0.07% lower, according to data from Benzinga Pro.
Despite losing some steam in December, the S&P 500 finished the year 23.5% higher, bolstered by strong corporate profits and artificial intelligence investment and enthusiasm.
Experts expect double-digit gains to continue through 2025, with analysts' price targets for the S&P 500 ranging from 6,000 to 7,100.
Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist for LPL Financial, noted the average top-down Wall Street strategist price target for the S&P 500 has climbed to 6,614 at year's end, up from 5,548 in October. He highlighted this as the highest quarterly rate of change since the data series began in 1999, reflecting the overwhelming optimism of market participants.
The LPL Research target range for the S&P 500 at the end of 2025 is between 6,275 and 6,375.
Analysts also anticipate the S&P 500 to report double-digit earnings growth in calendar year 2025 with an estimated earnings growth rate of 14.8%, according to data from Factset.
The average EPS estimate for the S&P 500 next year is $269, with the range of forecasts spanning from $254 to $282, according to LPL Research. The firm's own estimate is for an EPS of $260 for the S&P 500 in 2025.
The $SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ ended Tuesday's session down 0.36%, but closed out 2024 with gains of 23.31% on the year.
Turnquist said that LPL Research expects stocks to move modestly higher in 2025, but cautioned that gains could be offset by "excessively" bullish sentiment and stretched valuations.
"Positive surprises that drove stocks higher in the last year may be more difficult to come by in the year ahead," Turnquist said.
該$標普500指數 (.SPX.US)$ 週二,結束了另一個極其成功的年度,實現了連續第二年20%的漲幅,並創下超過50個歷史新高。
根據Benzinga Pro的數據,所有三個主要指數在週二均出現下跌,標普500下跌0.43%,納斯達克下跌0.9%,道瓊斯指數在收盤時下跌0.07%。
儘管在12月放緩,標普500全年上漲23.5%,得益於強勁的企業利潤以及對人工智能投資和熱情的支持。
專家預計,雙位數的增長將持續到2025年,分析師對標普500的價格目標範圍在6,000到7,100之間。
LPL Financial的首席技術策略師亞當·特恩奎斯特指出,標普500的平均頂層華爾街策略師價格目標在年末已升至6,614,高於10月份的5,548。他強調這是自1999年數據系列開始以來最高的季度變化率,反映出市場參與者的壓倒性樂觀情緒。
LPL Research對標普500在2025年底的目標區間爲6,275到6,375。
分析師還預計,標普500將在2025日歷年報告兩位數的每股收益增長,預計增長率爲14.8%,根據Factset的數據。
根據LPL Research,明年S&P 500的每股收益平均預估爲$269,預測區間從$254到$282。該公司的自我估算爲2025年S&P 500的每股收益爲$260。
本 $標普500指數ETF-SPDR (SPY.US)$ 星期二的交易結束時下跌了0.36%,但2024年的年收益爲23.31%。
Turnquist表示,LPL Financial預計股票在2025年將適度上漲,但警告稱收益可能會被"過於"看好的情緒和高估的估值抵消。
"推動股票在過去一年上漲的積極意外在未來一年中可能更難出現,"Turnquist說道。