We Think Jiangsu Cnano Technology (SHSE:688116) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Jiangsu Cnano Technology (SHSE:688116) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Jiangsu Cnano Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688116) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
一些人認爲波動性而不是債務是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾著名地說過:『波動性遠不能與風險同義。』因此,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,顯然需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到天奈科技(SHSE:688116)在其資產負債表上確實存在債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否讓公司變得有風險。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時會變得危險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
當一個企業無法輕易履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會變得有風險,無論是通過自由現金流還是以有吸引力的價格籌集資金。資本主義的一部分是『創造性破壞』的過程,失敗的企業會被銀行家無情清算。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們確實常常看到負債公司因爲貸方強迫他們在壓力價格下籌集資金而永久性稀釋股東權益。然而,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資金來進行高回報投資的企業的極佳工具。當我們審查債務水平時,首先需要一起考慮現金和債務水平。
How Much Debt Does Jiangsu Cnano Technology Carry?
天奈科技有多少債務?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Jiangsu Cnano Technology had CN¥1.36b of debt, up from CN¥1.24b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥1.16b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥194.3m.
如您在下面看到的,截至2024年9月底,天奈科技的債務爲13.6億人民幣,較一年前的12.4億人民幣有所增加。點擊圖片查看更多細節。然而,它有11.6億人民幣的現金抵消了這部分債務,導致淨債務約爲19430萬人民幣。
How Healthy Is Jiangsu Cnano Technology's Balance Sheet?
江蘇天奈科技的資產負債表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Jiangsu Cnano Technology had liabilities of CN¥936.3m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.25b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.16b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.05b due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,天奈科技的負債爲93630萬元,短期負債將在一年內到期,長期負債爲12.5億人民幣。抵消這些義務,它的現金爲11.6億人民幣,以及價值10.5億人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其總負債幾乎完全與其短期流動資產相匹配。
Having regard to Jiangsu Cnano Technology's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥13.4b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. But either way, Jiangsu Cnano Technology has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
考慮到天奈科技的規模,似乎其流動資產與總負債之間保持良好的平衡。因此,雖然很難想象這家市值134億的公司會面臨現金困難,但我們仍然認爲監測其資產負債表是值得的。但無論怎樣,天奈科技幾乎沒有淨債務,因此可以公平地說,它並沒有沉重的債務負擔!
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
爲了評估一家公司的債務與其收益的關係,我們計算其淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及息稅前利潤(EBIT)與利息費用的比率(即利息覆蓋率)。通過這種方式,我們考慮了債務的絕對數量和所支付的利率。
Jiangsu Cnano Technology has net debt of just 0.45 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. While Jiangsu Cnano Technology doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jiangsu Cnano Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
天奈科技的淨債務僅爲EBITDA的0.45倍,這表明它可以在不費吹灰之力的情況下增加槓桿。而且值得注意的是,儘管有淨債務,但在過去的十二個月中,它實際收到的利息超過了需要支付的利息。因此,可以公平地說,它處理債務就像一位優秀的鐵板燒廚師處理烹飪一樣。雖然天奈科技在EBIT線上似乎沒有獲得太多收益,但至少目前收益保持穩定。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到了有關債務的知識。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定天奈科技是否能夠隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份分析師利潤預測的免費報告會很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jiangsu Cnano Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
但我們最終的考量也很重要,因爲公司不能用紙面利潤來償還債務;需要的是冷硬現金。 所以我們總是檢查EBIt中有多少轉換爲自由現金流。在過去三年中,江蘇天奈科技的自由現金流總的來說是相當負面的。雖然投資者無疑期待這種情況在適當時候會發生逆轉,但這顯然意味着其債務使用更加風險。
Our View
我們的觀點
Based on what we've seen Jiangsu Cnano Technology is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Jiangsu Cnano Technology is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Jiangsu Cnano Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...
根據我們所看到的,江蘇天奈科技在將EBIt轉換爲自由現金流方面並不容易,但我們考慮的其他因素使我們有理由保持樂觀。特別是,我們對其利息覆蓋率感到非常驚豔。當我們考慮上述所有因素時,我們認爲江蘇天奈科技在管理其債務方面做得相當不錯。話雖如此,負擔足夠重,我們建議任何股東密切關注它。毫無疑問,我們在資產負債表中學到大部分關於債務的知識。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。請注意,江蘇天奈科技在我們的投資分析中顯示出兩個警告信號,其中一個可能是嚴重的...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。
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