The Three-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Jointown Pharmaceutical Group's (SHSE:600998 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 4.1% in Past Week
The Three-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Jointown Pharmaceutical Group's (SHSE:600998 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 4.1% in Past Week
Investors are understandably disappointed when a stock they own declines in value. But it's hard to avoid some disappointing investments when the overall market is down. While the Jointown Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:600998) share price is down 12% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -3.3%. That's better than the market which declined 15% over the last three years. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 11% in the last three months.
當投資者所持股票的價值下降時,他們自然會感到失望。但當整個市場下跌時,很難避免一些令人失望的投資。雖然九州通的股價在過去三年中下跌了12%,但對股東的總回報(包括分紅)爲-3.3%。這比市場在過去三年中下跌的15%要好。近期跌幅加速,股價在過去三個月中下跌了11%。
Since Jointown Pharmaceutical Group has shed CN¥1.1b from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
由於九州通在過去7天內損失了11億人民幣的市值,讓我們看看長期的下降是否是由業務的經濟狀況驅動的。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話說:短期內市場是投票機,但長期來看它是稱重機。有一個不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對公司看法的變化,就是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 14% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 4% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines.
在過去三年中,九州通的每股收益以每年14%的複合率下降。相比之下,股價以4%的複合年率下降,這並沒有每股收益的下降那麼惡劣。這表明儘管過去每股收益下降,市場仍對長期盈利穩定性保留了一些樂觀。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下面的圖像顯示了EPS隨時間的變化(如果你點擊圖像,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. This free interactive report on Jointown Pharmaceutical Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
值得注意的是,CEO的薪酬低於同類公司中的中位數。但儘管CEO的薪酬值得關注,真正重要的問題是公司能否在未來實現盈利增長。如果你想進一步調查這隻股票,這份關於九州通的收益、營業收入和現金流的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Jointown Pharmaceutical Group's TSR for the last 3 years was -3.3%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報(TSR)與股價回報之間的區別。TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設任何收到的分紅被再投資)以及任何折扣融資和分拆的計算值。因此,對於支付豐厚分紅的公司來說,TSR通常遠高於股價回報。事實上,九州通過去三年的TSR爲-3.3%,超出之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其分紅支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group shareholders are down 4.4% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 10%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 1.6% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jointown Pharmaceutical Group you should know about.
九州通股東在這一年中損失了4.4%(即使考慮到分紅),但市場本身上漲了10%。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票,在十二個月的週期中,有時也會表現不佳。好的一面是,長期股東賺到了錢,過去五年每年的收益爲1.6%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此查看基礎數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象或許值得。 我覺得長期觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,考慮風險。每家公司都有風險,我們發現了一個針對九州通的警告信號,你應該了解。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,你可能會通過其他地方尋找一個絕佳的投資機會。所以請查看這個我們預計將增長每股收益的公司免費列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。