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The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Cheng De Lolo (SZSE:000848) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Cheng De Lolo (SZSE:000848) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

承德露露(SZSE:000848)三年期基礎收益增長前景良好,但在此期間,股東仍處於虧損狀態。
Simply Wall St ·  01/01 10:49

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. We regret to report that long term Cheng De Lolo Company Limited (SZSE:000848) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 25% in three years, versus a market decline of about 15%.

作爲投資者,努力確保你的整體投資組合超過市場平均水平是值得的。然而,在任何投資組合中,可能會有一些股票未能達到這個基準。我們遺憾地報告,長揸承德露露有限公司(深交所代碼:000848)的股東經歷了這樣的情況,股價在三年內下跌了25%,而市場的跌幅約爲15%。

After losing 4.1% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在過去一週下跌了4.1%後,值得調查公司的基本面,以看看我們可以從過去的表現中推斷出什麼。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

儘管高效市場假說仍然被一些人教授,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性。評估公司周圍的情緒如何變化的一種缺陷但合理的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)與股價。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Cheng De Lolo actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 5.8% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在這三年股價下跌的不幸期間,承德露露的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年增長了5.8%。考慮到股價的反應,人們可能會懷疑在此期間EPS是否是評估業務表現的良好指標(可能是由於一次性損失或收益)。另外,過去的增長預期也可能是不合理的。

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

值得看看其他指標,因爲每股收益的增長似乎與股價下跌不匹配。

Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. It's good to see that Cheng De Lolo has increased its revenue over the last three years. If the company can keep growing revenue, there may be an opportunity for investors. You might have to dig deeper to understand the recent share price weakness.

考慮到分紅派息的健康性,我們懷疑這對市場造成了影響。很高興看到承德露露在過去三年裏增加了營業收入。如果公司能夠持續增長營業收入,投資者或許有機會。您可能需要深入了解最近的股價疲軟。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下面的圖像顯示了收益和營業收入隨時間的變化情況(如果點擊圖像,可以看到更詳細的信息)。

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SZSE:000848 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 1st 2025
深交所:000848 每股收益和營業收入增長 2025年1月1日

If you are thinking of buying or selling Cheng De Lolo stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您考慮買入或賣出承德露露的股票,您應該查看這份免費的詳細資產負債表報告。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Cheng De Lolo, it has a TSR of -19% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮任何特定股票時,考慮整體股東回報以及股價回報是非常重要的。整體股東回報包括任何分拆或折扣融資的價值,以及基於再投資分紅假設的任何分紅。因此,對於支付豐厚分紅的公司,整體股東回報通常遠高於股價回報。在承德露露的案例中,它在過去三年的整體股東回報爲-19%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是由於其分紅派息!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We're pleased to report that Cheng De Lolo shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 19% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 7% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Cheng De Lolo (at least 1 which is a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我們很高興地報告,承德露露的股東在一年內獲得了19%的總股東回報。其中包括分紅派息。由於一年期的總股東回報率優於五年期的總股東回報率(後者每年爲7%),因此股票的表現似乎在最近得到了改善。持有樂觀態度的人可能會將TSR的最近改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而改善的跡象。雖然考慮市場狀況對股價的不同影響是非常重要的,但還有其他因素更加重要。例如,投資風險的常在陰影。我們已經發現了承德露露的2個警告信號(至少1個令人擔憂),理解它們應該是你投資過程的一部分。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,你可能會通過其他地方尋找一個絕佳的投資機會。所以請查看這個我們預計將增長每股收益的公司免費列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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