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Universal Health Services, Inc.'s (NYSE:UHS) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

Universal Health Services, Inc.'s (NYSE:UHS) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

通用健康服務公司(紐交所:UHS)的基本面看起來相當強勁:市場對此股票的看法可能是錯誤的嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/01 06:31

Universal Health Services (NYSE:UHS) has had a rough three months with its share price down 20%. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Universal Health Services' ROE.

Universal Health Services (紐交所:UHS)在過去三個月經歷了艱難的時期,股價下跌了20%。但是如果你仔細觀察,你可能會發現其關鍵的財務指標看起來相當不錯,這可能意味着股票在長期內有潛力上漲,因爲市場通常會獎勵更具韌性的長期基本面。在本文中,我們決定重點關注Universal Health Services的ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

ROE,即淨資產收益率,是評估公司如何有效地利用股東所投入的資金以產生回報的有用工具。簡單來說,它衡量了公司相對於股東權益的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股東權益回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Universal Health Services is:

因此,根據上述公式,Universal Health Services的ROE爲:

16% = US$1.0b ÷ US$6.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

16% = 10億美元 ÷ 67億美元(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月數據)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.16.

「回報」是指年度利潤。這意味着每1美元股東投資,公司產生的利潤爲0.16美元。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們了解到ROE衡量的是公司產生利潤的效率。根據公司再投資或"保留"這些利潤的多少,以及它的有效性,我們能夠評估公司的收益增長潛力。在其他條件相同的情況下,既有較高的權益回報率又有較高利潤保留的公司通常比沒有這些特徵的公司擁有更高的增長率。

Universal Health Services' Earnings Growth And 16% ROE

Universal Health Services的盈利增長和16%的ROE

At first glance, Universal Health Services seems to have a decent ROE. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 13% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. However, we are curious as to how the high returns still resulted in flat growth for Universal Health Services in the past five years. Therefore, there could be some other aspects that could potentially be preventing the company from growing. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

乍一看,Universal Health Services似乎擁有不錯的ROE。與平均行業ROE 13%相比,公司的ROE顯得相當出色。然而,我們好奇的是,高回報如何導致Universal Health Services在過去五年中的增長平淡。因此,可能還有其他因素阻礙了公司的增長。這些因素包括低盈利留存或資本配置不當。

We then compared Universal Health Services' net income growth with the industry and found that the average industry growth rate was 6.3% in the same 5-year period.

我們隨後將Universal Health Services的凈利潤增長與行業進行比較,發現同期的行業平均增長率爲6.3%。

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NYSE:UHS Past Earnings Growth January 1st 2025
紐交所:UHS 過去的盈利增長 2025年1月1日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Universal Health Services''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

爲公司估值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長相關。投資者了解市場是否已考慮公司的預期盈利增長(或下降)非常重要。這將幫助他們判斷該股票未來的前景是光明還是黯淡。如果您在關注Universal Health Services的估值,請查看其市盈率與行業板塊的比較。

Is Universal Health Services Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Universal Health Services是否有效利用其利潤?

Universal Health Services' low three-year median payout ratio of 7.7% (implying that the company keeps92% of its income) should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth and this should be reflected in its growth number, but that's not the case.

Universal Health Services三年期低中位數分紅派息比率爲7.7%(這意味着公司保留了92%的收入),這應該意味着公司將大部分利潤用於推動增長,並且這應該在增長數字中反映出來,但事實並非如此。

Moreover, Universal Health Services has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 4.2% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the lower expected payout ratio.

此外,Universal Health Services至少已經支付了十年的分紅,暗示管理層必須認爲股東更傾向於分紅而非盈利增長。在研究最新的分析師共識數據後,我們發現公司未來的分紅派息比率預計將在未來三年內降至4.2%。儘管預計分紅派息比率降低,但公司的ROE預計不會有太大變化。

Summary

總結

On the whole, we do feel that Universal Health Services has some positive attributes. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體而言,我們確實認爲Universal Health Services具有一些積極的屬性。 然而,低收益增長令人有些擔憂,特別是考慮到該公司的回報率很高,並且正在將大部分利潤進行再投資。 從目前來看,可能還有其他因素,可能並不完全由業務控制,這阻礙了增長。 同時,我們研究了最新的分析師預測,並發現儘管該公司在過去減少了收益,但分析師預計其未來收益將增長。 要了解有關該公司的最新分析師預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測可視化圖。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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