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Is Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) (SZSE:002595) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) (SZSE:002595) Using Too Much Debt?

豪邁科技(山東)(SZSE:002595)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  01/01 18:06

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) Co., Ltd (SZSE:002595) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

大衛·伊本說得很好,'波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。' 因此,當你考慮任何特定股票的風險時,考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,豪邁科技(山東)有限公司(SZSE:002595)確實在其資產負債表上有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務帶來了多少風險?

When Is Debt A Problem?

何時債務成爲問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕易償還時,才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過融資還是利用自身的現金流。如果情況非常糟糕,貸款人可以掌控業務。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價來稀釋股東,以便將債務控制住。當然,債務在企業中可以是一種重要的工具,特別是在資本密集型企業中。當我們考慮公司的債務使用時,首先要看現金和債務的結合。

What Is Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong)'s Debt?

豪邁科技(山東)的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) had debt of CN¥111.6m, up from CN¥39.6m in one year. But it also has CN¥1.81b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.70b net cash.

下面的圖像可點擊以獲取更詳細信息,顯示到2024年9月,豪邁科技(山東)有債務CN¥11160萬,較一年前的CN¥3960萬有所增加。但它同時擁有CN¥18.1億的現金來抵消這筆債務,這意味着它有CN¥17億的淨現金。

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SZSE:002595 Debt to Equity History January 1st 2025
SZSE:002595 債務與股本歷史 2025年1月1日

A Look At Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong)'s Liabilities

豪邁科技(山東)的負債分析

According to the last reported balance sheet, Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) had liabilities of CN¥1.39b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥303.2m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.81b and CN¥3.39b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥3.52b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最後報告的資產負債表,豪邁科技(山東)的負債爲13.9億人民幣,12個月內到期,12個月以上到期的負債爲30320萬人民幣。另一方面,它的現金爲18.1億人民幣,且有33.9億人民幣的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的流動資產比總負債多35.2億人民幣。

This short term liquidity is a sign that Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種短期流動性表明,豪邁科技(山東)可能能夠輕鬆償還債務,因爲它的資產負債表並不緊張。簡單來說,豪邁科技(山東)擁有的現金超過債務,明顯是一個它可以安全管理債務的好跡象。

Another good sign is that Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) has been able to increase its EBIT by 25% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

另一個好跡象是,豪邁科技(山東)在12個月內EBIT增加了25%,這使得償還債務變得更容易。毫無疑問,我們大部分關於債務的知識來自資產負債表。但未來的收益,尤其是這將判斷豪邁科技(山東)維持健康資產負債表能力的關鍵因素。因此,如果您想看看專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong)'s free cash flow amounted to 40% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

但我們最終的考慮也是重要的,因爲公司不能用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要冷硬的現金。豪邁科技(山東)在資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但仍然值得觀察該業務將稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需求和能力。在過去三年中,豪邁科技(山東)的自由現金流佔其EBIT的40%,低於我們的預期。在償還債務方面,這並不好。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) has CN¥1.70b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 25% over the last year. So is Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong)'s debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Himile Mechanical Science and Technology (Shandong) you should be aware of.

在調查公司的債務時,通常是明智的,但在這種情況下,豪邁科技(山東)擁有17億人民幣的淨現金和相當不錯的資產負債表。 而且,過去一年它的EBIT增長了25%,給我們留下了深刻的印象。 那麼,豪邁科技(山東)的債務是風險嗎?在我們看來似乎不是。 資產負債表顯然是分析債務時應關注的重點。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表上 - 遠非如此。 舉個例子:我們發現了1個豪邁科技(山東)的警告信號,你應該注意。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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