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Is Brookfield Infrastructure (NYSE:BIPC) A Risky Investment?

Is Brookfield Infrastructure (NYSE:BIPC) A Risky Investment?

Brookfield Infrastructure(紐交所:BIPC)是一個風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/02 03:47

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation (NYSE:BIPC) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

由伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李路坦言,"最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。" 在審視一個公司的風險時,自然要考慮其資產負債表,因爲企業倒閉時往往涉及債務。與許多其他公司一樣,Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation(紐交所:BIPC)也使用了債務。但股東是否應該對其債務使用感到擔憂呢?

When Is Debt A Problem?

何時債務成爲問題?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果一個企業無法償還貸款人,那麼它就處於貸款人的支配之下。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。然而,一個更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司不得不以廉價的股票價格稀釋股東,以便僅僅是控制債務。當然,很多公司使用債務來資助增長,而沒有產生負面後果。在考慮公司的債務水平時,第一步是將其現金和債務結合考慮。

What Is Brookfield Infrastructure's Debt?

Brookfield Infrastructure 的債務是什麼?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Brookfield Infrastructure had debt of US$13.5b, up from US$12.1b in one year. On the flip side, it has US$278.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$13.2b.

下圖(您可以點擊查看更詳細信息)顯示,到2024年9月,Brookfield Infrastructure 的債務爲135億美金,比一年前的121億美金有所增加。另一方面,它擁有27800萬美元的現金,導致淨債務約爲132億美金。

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NYSE:BIPC Debt to Equity History January 2nd 2025
紐交所:BIPC 債務與股本歷史 2025年1月2日

A Look At Brookfield Infrastructure's Liabilities

關於Brookfield Infrastructure負債的分析

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Brookfield Infrastructure had liabilities of US$6.74b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$14.9b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$278.0m in cash and US$2.62b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$18.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,Brookfield Infrastructure在一年內到期的負債爲67.4億美元,超出這一期限的負債爲149億美元。抵消這些負債的是其27800萬美元的現金和26.2億美元的應收款,後者將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收款的總和多出188億美元。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$5.47b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Brookfield Infrastructure would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

這種缺口嚴重影響了這家54.7億美金的公司,就像一個孩子在揹負裝滿書籍、大運動器材和小號的巨大揹包時所感受到的沉重一樣。因此,我們絕對認爲,股東需要密切關注這一點。歸根結底,Brookfield Infrastructure可能需要進行重大再融資,如果其債權人要求償還。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

爲了評估一家公司的債務與其收益的關係,我們計算其淨債務與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及息稅前利潤(EBIT)與利息費用的比率(即利息覆蓋率)。通過這種方式,我們考慮了債務的絕對數量和所支付的利率。

While Brookfield Infrastructure's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.4) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.2, suggesting high leverage. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The good news is that Brookfield Infrastructure grew its EBIT a smooth 57% over the last twelve months. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Brookfield Infrastructure's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

雖然Brookfield Infrastructure的債務與EBITDA比率(4.4)表明它使用了一些債務,但其利息覆蓋率非常低,僅爲2.2,暗示了高槓杆率。顯然,借款成本最近對股東的回報產生了負面影響。好消息是,Brookfield Infrastructure在過去12個月內EBIT穩步增長了57%。就像母親溫柔擁抱新生兒那樣,這種增長建立了韌性,使公司在管理債務方面處於更強的地位。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但未來的收益,遠比其他任何因素,都將判斷Brookfield Infrastructure未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果想要了解專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告是有趣的。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Brookfield Infrastructure's free cash flow amounted to 24% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

最終,一家公司只能用現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。 所以我們總是檢查EBIT中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。 在過去三年中,Brookfield Infrastructure的自由現金流佔其EBIT的24%,低於我們的預期。 這種現金轉化能力較弱使得處理債務變得更加困難。

Our View

我們的觀點

We'd go so far as to say Brookfield Infrastructure's level of total liabilities was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. It's also worth noting that Brookfield Infrastructure is in the Gas Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Brookfield Infrastructure's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Brookfield Infrastructure (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

我們甚至可以說,Brookfield Infrastructure的總負債水平令人失望。 但至少它在EBIT增長方面表現相當不錯;這令人鼓舞。 值得注意的是,Brookfield Infrastructure屬於燃料幣公用股行業,這通常被認爲相當防禦性。 從大局來看,我們顯然認爲Brookfield Infrastructure的債務使用正在爲公司創造風險。如果一切順利,這應該會提升回報,但另一方面,債務增加了永久性資本損失的風險。 毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到大多數關於債務的知識。 然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表內——遠非如此。 這些風險可能很難識別。 每家公司都有這些風險,我們已經發現了Brookfield Infrastructure的2個警告信號(其中1個不應被忽視!)你應該知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,今天就來發現我們獨家的淨現金成長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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