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These 4 Measures Indicate That CITIC Heavy Industries (SHSE:601608) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

These 4 Measures Indicate That CITIC Heavy Industries (SHSE:601608) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

這4個指標表明中信重工(SHSE:601608)合理地使用了債務
Simply Wall St ·  01/03 06:17

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies CITIC Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601608) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

大衛·伊本說得很好,'波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。' 所以在考慮任何給定股票的風險性時,顯然你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司陷入困境。與許多其他公司一樣,中信重工(SHSE:601608)也使用債務。但是,真正的問題是這種債務是否使公司變得危險。

When Is Debt A Problem?

何時債務成爲問題?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當一家公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償還債權人,就可能破產。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以便宜的股票價格稀釋股東權益,僅僅是爲了控制債務。不過,通過替代稀釋,債務對於需要資本進行高回報率增長投資的企業來說,可以是一種非常好的工具。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金與債務一起考慮。

What Is CITIC Heavy Industries's Debt?

中信重工的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CITIC Heavy Industries had debt of CN¥2.12b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥2.32b over a year. However, it does have CN¥1.55b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥572.7m.

下圖可點擊以獲取更多細節,顯示中信重工在2024年9月底的債務爲211.2億人民幣,比一年前的23.2億人民幣有所減少。然而,它有15.5億人民幣的現金抵消了這一點,使淨債務約爲57270萬人民幣。

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SHSE:601608 Debt to Equity History January 2nd 2025
SHSE:601608 債務與股本歷史 2025年1月2日

How Healthy Is CITIC Heavy Industries' Balance Sheet?

中信重工的資產負債表健康嗎?

The latest balance sheet data shows that CITIC Heavy Industries had liabilities of CN¥8.05b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.71b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.55b and CN¥4.56b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥3.65b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,中信重工的負債爲80.5億人民幣,1年內到期的負債爲17.1億人民幣。另一方面,它有15.5億人民幣的現金和45.6億人民幣的應收賬款,1年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出36.5億人民幣。

Since publicly traded CITIC Heavy Industries shares are worth a total of CN¥18.6b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

由於上市的中信重工股票總值爲186億人民幣,這樣的負債水平似乎不會構成重大的威脅。但負債的確相當可觀,因此我們當然建議股東繼續關注資產負債表。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了衡量一家公司相對於其收益的債務水平,我們計算其淨負債與利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及其利息和稅項前利潤(EBIT)與其利息支出(利息支付比率)的比率。因此,我們考慮了包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務的情況。

CITIC Heavy Industries has net debt of just 0.98 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. But the really cool thing is that it actually managed to receive more interest than it paid, over the last year. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. Although CITIC Heavy Industries made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated CN¥317m in EBIT over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is CITIC Heavy Industries's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

中信重工的淨債務僅爲EBITDA的0.98倍,這表明它可以在不費力的情況下增加槓桿。但令人欣慰的是,它實際上在過去一年賺取的利息超過了支付的利息。因此可以公平地說,它能夠像頂級鐵板燒廚師一樣處理債務。儘管中信重工在EBIT層面上去年虧損,但我們看到它在過去十二個月內產生了31700萬人民幣的EBIT,這也是好事。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個開始。但影響未來資產負債表穩定的將是中信重工的收益。因此,如果你想了解更多關於其收益的信息,查看這張其長期收益趨勢圖可能值得一試。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, CITIC Heavy Industries actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

但我們最後的考慮同樣重要,因爲公司不能用紙上利潤來償還債務;它需要真實的現金。因此,檢查其息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲實際自由現金流的比例是很重要的。令所有股東感到欣慰的是,中信重工在過去一年中實際上生產的自由現金流超過了EBIT。這樣的強現金轉化讓我們像在Daft Punk演唱會中,音樂節奏響起時的觀衆一樣興奮。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, CITIC Heavy Industries's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like CITIC Heavy Industries is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for CITIC Heavy Industries that you should be aware of.

令人高興的是,中信重工令人印象深刻的利息覆蓋率意味着它在債務方面佔據優勢。而且這只是好消息的開始,因爲它將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力也令人鼓舞。當我們考慮上述各種因素時,中信重工在債務使用方面顯得相當理智。雖然這帶來了一定風險,但也可以增強股東的回報。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中最能了解債務。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。例如,我們已經識別出中信重工應注意的三個警示信號。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

無論最終結果如何,有時候更容易關注那些根本不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費獲取一份淨債務爲零的成長股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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