Despite Lower Earnings Than Five Years Ago, Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry (SZSE:000422) Investors Are up 334% Since Then
Despite Lower Earnings Than Five Years Ago, Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry (SZSE:000422) Investors Are up 334% Since Then
It hasn't been the best quarter for Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000422) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 15% in that time. But over five years returns have been remarkably great. Indeed, the share price is up a whopping 320% in that time. Arguably, the recent fall is to be expected after such a strong rise. The most important thing for savvy investors to consider is whether the underlying business can justify the share price gain. While the returns over the last 5 years have been good, we do feel sorry for those shareholders who haven't held shares that long, because the share price is down 39% in the last three years.
湖北宜化化工股份有限公司(SZSE:000422)股東在這一季度的表現並不理想,因爲股價在這一期間下跌了15%。但是,五年來的回報卻非常出色。事實上,股價在此期間上漲了驚人的320%。可以說,在如此強勁的上漲後,最近的下跌是可以預見的。聰明的投資者最重要考慮的是,基礎業務是否能夠證明股價的上漲是合理的。雖然過去五年的回報不錯,但我們對那些未能長揸股票的股東感到遺憾,因爲在過去三年中,股價下跌了39%。
While the stock has fallen 5.2% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
雖然該股票本週下跌了5.2%,但值得關注長期趨勢,看看股票的歷史回報是否受到基礎基本面的驅動。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
借用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話: 在短期內,市場是一臺投票機,但在長期內,它是一臺稱重機。 通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價變化,我們可以感受投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間變化的。
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry's earnings per share are down 5.6% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
儘管在五年中股價表現良好,湖北宜化化工的每股收益每年下降5.6%。
Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.
本質上,投資者似乎並不關注每股收益。由於每股收益似乎與股價不符,我們將轉而關注其他指標。
On the other hand, Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 6.2% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
另一方面,湖北宜化的營業收入增長良好,在過去五年中的複合增長率爲6.2%。在這種情況下,公司可能正在犧牲當前的每股收益以推動增長。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的圖像中查看收益和營業收入隨時間的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry
值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪酬低於同類公司中位數。時刻關注首席執行官的薪酬是很重要的,但一個更重要的問題是公司是否能在未來幾年內增長盈利。這個免費的報告展示了分析師的預測,應該能幫助你對湖北宜化形成看法。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry's TSR for the last 5 years was 334%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考察投資回報時,考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的區別是重要的。TSR納入了任何剝離或折價融資的價值,以及任何基於假設的分紅再投資的分紅。可以公平地說,TSR爲支付分紅的股票提供了更完整的圖景。實際上,湖北宜化過去五年的TSR爲334%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。並且,毫無疑問,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
We're pleased to report that Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 16% over one year. And that does include the dividend. However, that falls short of the 34% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. Potential buyers might understandably feel they've missed the opportunity, but it's always possible business is still firing on all cylinders. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry (including 2 which make us uncomfortable) .
我們很高興地報告,湖北宜化的股東在一年內獲得了16%的總股東回報。這其中包括分紅。然而,這低於過去五年每年爲股東創造的34%的年化總回報率。潛在買家可能會感到自己錯過了機會,但業務仍然可能在全速運轉。我發現,從長期來看觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理指標非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。爲此,您應該了解我們發現的湖北宜化的4個警告信號(包括2個讓我們感到不安的信號)。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一樣,那麼你一定不想錯過這份內部人士正在購買的被低估的小型股免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。