We Think Gettop Acoustic (SZSE:002655) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Gettop Acoustic (SZSE:002655) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Gettop Acoustic Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002655) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
由巴菲特的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李路坦言,"最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久性資本損失。" 所以,當你考慮任何特定股票的風險時,顯然需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可以導致公司陷入困境。我們注意到,Gettop Acoustic Co., Ltd.(SZSE:002655)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是,這些債務是否使得公司變得風險重重。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務帶來風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
當企業無法輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會變得風險重重,無論是通過自由現金流還是通過以有吸引力的價格籌集資金。如果事情變得非常糟糕,貸款人可能會控制這家企業。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因爲貸款人逼迫它們以低價籌集資金而永久稀釋股東權益。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理管理其債務,並且利用這些債務爲自己謀利。當我們考慮公司的債務使用時,我們首先會將現金和債務放在一起看。
What Is Gettop Acoustic's Debt?
Gettop Acoustic的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Gettop Acoustic had debt of CN¥340.6m, up from CN¥248.2m in one year. However, it does have CN¥172.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥168.5m.
下圖可供您點擊以獲取更多詳細信息,顯示到2024年9月Gettop Acoustic的債務爲CN¥34060萬,較一年前的CN¥24820萬有所增加。然而,它有CN¥17220萬的現金抵消這筆債務,從而導致淨債務約爲CN¥16850萬。

A Look At Gettop Acoustic's Liabilities
看看Gettop Acoustic的負債情況
The latest balance sheet data shows that Gettop Acoustic had liabilities of CN¥756.1m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥77.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥172.2m in cash and CN¥534.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥126.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,Gettop Acoustic在一年內到期的負債爲75610萬CN¥,而一年後到期的負債爲7760萬CN¥。 相抵的,它有17220萬CN¥的現金和53490萬CN¥的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。 所以,其負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多12670萬CN¥。
Given Gettop Acoustic has a market capitalization of CN¥4.38b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
考慮到Gettop Acoustic的市值爲43.8億CN¥,很難相信這些負債會帶來太大的威脅。但負債的確存在,故我們強烈建議股東今後繼續關注資產負債表。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
我們通過查看公司的淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比例來衡量公司相對於其收益能力的債務負擔,以及計算其息稅前利潤(EBIT)覆蓋利息支出的能力(利息覆蓋率)。因此,我們在考慮收益時同時考慮了折舊與攤銷費用及不考慮這些費用的情況。
Gettop Acoustic's net debt is only 0.94 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 19.5 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Even more impressive was the fact that Gettop Acoustic grew its EBIT by 355% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Gettop Acoustic's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Gettop Acoustic的淨債務僅爲其EBITDA的0.94倍。而它的EBIT足以覆蓋其利息支出,比例高達19.5倍。所以你可以說,它的債務對它的威脅相對於大象來說就好比是小鼠。更令人印象深刻的是,Gettop Acoustic的EBIT在過去12個月增長了355%。如果繼續保持這樣的增長,未來幾年其債務將變得更易於管理。毫無疑問,我們通過資產負債表了解了債務,但將影響資產負債表未來狀況的是Gettop Acoustic的收益。因此,如果你想了解更多關於其收益的信息,查看這張長期收益趨勢圖可能會很值得。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Gettop Acoustic recorded free cash flow of 27% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
最後,一家公司只能用現金償還債務,而不能僅依賴會計利潤。因此,我們始終檢查EBIT中有多少轉化爲自由現金流。從最近三年的數據來看,Gettop Acoustic的自由現金流佔其EBIT的27%,這低於我們的預期。現金轉化能力的減弱使得處理負債更加困難。
Our View
我們的觀點
Happily, Gettop Acoustic's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. Zooming out, Gettop Acoustic seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Gettop Acoustic, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
令人欣慰的是,Gettop Acoustic令人印象深刻的利息覆蓋率表明它在債務方面佔據上風。但說實話,我們覺得它將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力確實有點削弱了這種印象。整體來看,Gettop Acoustic似乎相當合理地使用債務;這也得到了我們的認可。雖然債務確實帶來風險,但如果使用得當,它也可以帶來更高的股本回報。隨着時間的推移,股價往往會跟隨每股收益的變化,因此如果你對Gettop Acoustic感興趣,可能想要點擊這裏查看其每股收益歷史的互動圖表。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。