The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Haoersai Technology Group (SZSE:002963) Stock Falls a Further 19% in Past Week
The Five-year Shareholder Returns and Company Earnings Persist Lower as Haoersai Technology Group (SZSE:002963) Stock Falls a Further 19% in Past Week
Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But unfortunately, some companies simply don't succeed. For example, after five long years the Haoersai Technology Group Corp., Ltd. (SZSE:002963) share price is a whole 65% lower. That's not a lot of fun for true believers. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 26% over the last twelve months. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 19%.
從統計學角度來看,長期投資是一個盈利的事業。但不幸的是,一些公司根本無法成功。例如,在漫長的五年後,浩爾賽科技集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002963)的股價整整下降了65%。對於真正的信徒來說,這並不是一個有趣的情況。我們懷疑長期信徒並不是唯一擔心的持有者,因爲在過去的十二個月裏,股價下降了26%。而且在過去的一週中,股價下降了大約19%。
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Haoersai Technology Group isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
如果過去一週的情況再怎麼說,投資者對浩爾賽科技集團的情緒並不樂觀,因此讓我們來看看基本面和股價之間是否存在不匹配的情況。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
儘管高效市場假說仍然被一些人教授,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性。評估公司周圍的情緒如何變化的一種缺陷但合理的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)與股價。
During five years of share price growth, Haoersai Technology Group moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.
在五年的股價增長期間,浩爾賽科技集團從虧損轉向盈利。這通常會被認爲是一個積極的信號,因此我們對股價下跌感到驚訝。其他指標可能會讓我們更好地了解其價值隨時間變化的情況。
Arguably, the revenue drop of 18% a year for half a decade suggests that the company can't grow in the long term. This has probably encouraged some shareholders to sell down the stock.
可以說,連續五年每年18%的營業收入下降表明該公司無法實現長期增長。這可能鼓勵了一些股東出售股票。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到盈利和營業收入隨時間的變化(通過點擊圖片發現確切值)。
Take a more thorough look at Haoersai Technology Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通過這份免費的資產負債表報告,更全面地了解蒿爾賽科技集團的財務健康狀況。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Haoersai Technology Group shareholders are down 26% for the year, but the market itself is up 9.3%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 11% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Haoersai Technology Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...
蒿爾賽科技集團的股東今年的收益下降了26%,而市場整體上漲了9.3%。即使是優秀股票的股價有時也會下跌,但在對某個業務產生過多興趣之前,我們希望看到其基本指標的改善。遺憾的是,去年的表現標誌着一段糟糕的走勢,股東面臨着五年期間每年11%的總損失。我們意識到巴倫·羅思柴爾德曾說過,投資者應該在街頭出現「血流成河」時「買入」,但我們警告投資者首先要確保自己正在購買高質量的業務。我發現從長期來看股價作爲業務表現的替代指標非常有趣。但要真正深入洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。儘管如此,要注意蒿爾賽科技集團在我們的投資分析中顯示出2個警告信號,其中1個讓我們感到有點不安……
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果你喜歡與管理層一起買入股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這個免費的公司名單。(提示:很多公司鮮爲人知,而且估值吸引。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。