share_log

Is UTour Group (SZSE:002707) A Risky Investment?

Is UTour Group (SZSE:002707) A Risky Investment?

眾信旅遊(深證證券代碼:002707)是一個風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  01/03 12:55

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies UTour Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002707) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,他提到,與其擔心股票價格波動,不如關注「永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險……而我認識的每一個實用投資者也都在擔心這個。」 所以,當你考慮任何特定股票的風險時,必須考慮債務,因爲債務過多會拖垮一家公司。 眾信旅遊有限公司(SZSE:002707)和許多其他公司一樣,利用債務。但股東應該擔心其債務的使用嗎?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時會變得危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果一家公司無法償還其貸款人,那麼它就處於他們的掌控之中。最終,如果公司無法履行其償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所有。雖然這並不常見,但我們經常看到有債務的公司因爲貸款人迫使他們以低價融資而永久性稀釋股東的權益。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表着廉價資本,特別是在它替代了一家能夠以高回報率再投資的公司的稀釋時。考慮一家企業使用多少債務時,首先要查看其現金和債務的結合情況。

How Much Debt Does UTour Group Carry?

眾信旅遊的債務是多少?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, UTour Group had CN¥775.9m of debt, up from CN¥486.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥855.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥79.5m.

如下面所示,到2024年9月底,眾信旅遊的債務爲77590萬人民幣,較一年前的48630萬人民幣有所增加。點擊圖片以獲取更多細節。不過,它有85540萬人民幣的現金來抵消這些債務,導致淨現金爲7950萬人民幣。

big
SZSE:002707 Debt to Equity History January 3rd 2025
SZSE:002707 債務與股本歷史 2025年1月3日

A Look At UTour Group's Liabilities

觀察眾信旅遊的負債情況

According to the last reported balance sheet, UTour Group had liabilities of CN¥2.18b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥19.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥855.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥282.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.06b.

根據最後報告的資產負債表,眾信旅遊在12個月內的負債爲21.8億人民幣,超過12個月的負債爲1970萬人民幣。抵消這些義務,它擁有現金85540萬人民幣,以及在12個月內到期的應收賬款28260萬人民幣。因此,其負債超過現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和爲10.6億人民幣。

Given UTour Group has a market capitalization of CN¥7.23b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, UTour Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

考慮到眾信旅遊的市值爲72.3億人民幣,很難相信這些負債會帶來太大威脅。儘管如此,顯然我們應該繼續關注其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。儘管其負債顯著,眾信旅遊卻擁有淨現金,因此可以合理地說,它並沒有沉重的債務負擔!

It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, UTour Group turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥198m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if UTour Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

儘管在去年EBIT線上虧損,但看到眾信旅遊在過去12個月裏扭轉了局面,交出了19800萬人民幣的EBIT,實在是不錯。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中能學到最多關於債務的知識。但最終,業務未來的盈利能力將決定眾信旅遊是否能夠隨着時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份展示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While UTour Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, UTour Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,雖然稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款方只接受冷硬現金。儘管眾信旅遊在資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍然值得一看其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它建設(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度。對於任何股東來說,令人高興的是,眾信旅遊實際上在去年的自由現金流產生量超過了EBIT。這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們像在Daft Punk音樂會上,當節奏降臨時一樣興奮。

Summing Up

總結

Although UTour Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥79.5m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥522m, being 264% of its EBIT. So is UTour Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of UTour Group's earnings per share history for free.

雖然眾信旅遊的資產負債表並不特別強勁,但由於總負債,看到它擁有7950萬人民幣的淨現金顯然是積極的。它以52200萬人民幣的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,達到了其EBIT的264%。那麼眾信旅遊的債務是個風險嗎?在我們看來似乎不是。除了大多數其他指標,我們認爲追蹤每股盈利增長的速度是很重要的。如果你也意識到了這一點,那麼你很幸運,因爲今天你可以免費查看眾信旅遊每股盈利歷史的互動圖表。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論