To the annoyance of some shareholders, Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (NYSE:SDHC) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Smith Douglas Homes' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Consumer Durables industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
NYSE:SDHC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2025
How Has Smith Douglas Homes Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Smith Douglas Homes has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Smith Douglas Homes' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Smith Douglas Homes would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 17%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 74% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 15% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 5.1% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's curious that Smith Douglas Homes' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Smith Douglas Homes' P/S
Smith Douglas Homes' plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Smith Douglas Homes currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Smith Douglas Homes you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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