Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300169) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 31% share price drop in the last month. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.
Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may still consider Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
How Has Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group Performed Recently?
Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.3%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 27% overall drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group's P/S Mean For Investors?
Despite the recent share price weakness, Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Having said that, be aware Changzhou Tiansheng New Materials Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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