Sino Medical Sciences Technology (SHSE:688108) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Sino Medical Sciences Technology (SHSE:688108) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Sino Medical Sciences Technology Inc. (SHSE:688108) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
由巴克夏哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄毫不掩飾地表示:『最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。』當你檢查一家公司有多危險時,自然會考慮公司的資產負債表,因爲債務通常與企業的崩潰有關。我們注意到賽諾醫療(SHSE:688108)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多大的風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般而言,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還時,才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過融資還是利用自身的現金流。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法支付債權人,它可能會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,以增強其資產負債表,從而永久稀釋股東的權益。當然,許多公司使用債務來資助增長,而不會帶來任何負面後果。當我們考察債務水平時,首先考慮的是現金和債務水平的結合。
What Is Sino Medical Sciences Technology's Debt?
賽諾醫療的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Sino Medical Sciences Technology had debt of CN¥206.2m, up from CN¥79.1m in one year. But it also has CN¥224.9m in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥18.7m net cash.
下圖(您可以點擊以獲取更大細節)顯示截至2024年9月,賽諾醫療的債務爲20620萬人民幣,比一年前的7910萬人民幣有所上升。但它還有22490萬人民幣的現金來抵消這些債務,這意味着它的淨現金爲1870萬人民幣。
How Strong Is Sino Medical Sciences Technology's Balance Sheet?
賽諾醫療的資產負債表有多強?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Sino Medical Sciences Technology had liabilities of CN¥156.7m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥224.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥224.9m in cash and CN¥21.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥135.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到賽諾醫療的負債爲15670萬人民幣,需在12個月內償還,負債爲22450萬人民幣,需在之後償還。抵消這一點的是,賽諾醫療有22490萬人民幣的現金和2110萬人民幣的應收賬款,需在12個月內償還。因此,賽諾醫療的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多13510萬人民幣。
Given Sino Medical Sciences Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥3.81b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Sino Medical Sciences Technology also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Sino Medical Sciences Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
考慮到賽諾醫療的市值爲38.1億人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成多大威脅。然而,我們認爲值得關注其資產負債表的強度,因爲這可能會隨着時間的推移而變化。雖然它的負債值得關注,但賽諾醫療的現金也多於債務,因此我們很有信心它能夠安全地管理其債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的地方。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定賽諾醫療是否能夠隨着時間的推移來強化其資產負債表。因此,如果您關注未來,可以查看此份免費的報告,顯示分析師的利潤預測。
Over 12 months, Sino Medical Sciences Technology reported revenue of CN¥417m, which is a gain of 54%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
在12個月內,賽諾醫療報告的營業收入爲41700萬人民幣,同比增長54%,儘管它沒有報告任何稅息前盈利。股東們可能都希望它能通過增長走向盈利。
So How Risky Is Sino Medical Sciences Technology?
那麼,賽諾醫療的風險有多大?
While Sino Medical Sciences Technology lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥1.2m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. One positive is that Sino Medical Sciences Technology is growing revenue apace, which makes it easier to sell a growth story and raise capital if need be. But we still think it's somewhat risky. When we look at a riskier company, we like to check how their profits (or losses) are trending over time. Today, we're providing readers this interactive graph showing how Sino Medical Sciences Technology's profit, revenue, and operating cashflow have changed over the last few years.
雖然賽諾醫療在稅息前盈利(EBIT)方面虧損,但它實際上產生了120萬人民幣的正自由現金流。因此,按照表面值看,考慮到淨現金狀況,我們認爲該股票在短期內並不太風險。有一個積極的方面是,賽諾醫療的營業收入正在快速增長,這使得在需要時更容易出售增長故事並籌集資金。但我們仍然認爲這有些風險。當我們查看一家風險較高的公司時,我們喜歡檢查他們的利潤(或虧損)在一段時間內的趨勢。今天,我們爲讀者提供這張交互式圖表,顯示賽諾醫療的利潤、營業收入和運營現金流在過去幾年的變化。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資那些能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增長利潤的業務,請查看這個自由名單,其中列出了在資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業。
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