Digimarc Corporation (NASDAQ:DMRC) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 37% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 39%.
After such a large jump in price, Digimarc's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 25.7x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 5.6x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Digimarc's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Digimarc certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Digimarc will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Digimarc?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Digimarc would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 19% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 57% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 18% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 26%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's alarming that Digimarc's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Digimarc's P/S?
Digimarc's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Digimarc, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Having said that, be aware Digimarc is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Digimarc, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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