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Shenzhen Comix Group (SZSE:002301) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Shenzhen Comix Group (SZSE:002301) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

齊心集團 (SZSE:002301) 看起來很合理地使用了債務
Simply Wall St ·  01/05 10:24

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shenzhen Comix Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002301) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

一些人認爲波動性而非債務是投資者考慮風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾著名地說過:『波動性遠非風險的同義詞。』 在你考量一家公司風險時,自然會考慮到公司的資產負債表,因爲當企業倒閉時,債務往往是一個因素。與許多其他公司一樣,齊心集團(SZSE:002301)也使用了債務。但這種債務對股東來說是個問題嗎?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務帶來了什麼風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務幫助企業,直到企業在償還時遇到困難,要麼通過新的資本,要麼通過自由現金流。 資本主義的一個組成部分是『創造性毀滅』的過程,失敗的企業會被他們的銀行家無情清算。 然而,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以廉價出售股票,永久稀釋股東權益,僅僅是爲了支撐其資產負債表。 通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本投資於高回報增長的企業的極好工具。 當我們考慮一家公司對債務的使用時,我們首先會將現金和債務一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Comix Group Carry?

齊心集團承載了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shenzhen Comix Group had CN¥586.5m of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥721.7m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥3.68b in cash, leading to a CN¥3.10b net cash position.

您可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示齊心集團在2024年9月的債務爲58650萬人民幣,較一年前的72170萬人民幣有所下降。然而,另一方面,它還有36.8億人民幣的現金,這導致了31億人民幣的淨現金頭寸。

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SZSE:002301 Debt to Equity History January 5th 2025
SZSE:002301 債務與股本歷史 2025年1月5日

How Healthy Is Shenzhen Comix Group's Balance Sheet?

齊心集團的資產負債表健康嗎?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shenzhen Comix Group had liabilities of CN¥5.69b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥37.0m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.68b in cash and CN¥3.57b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.52b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根據最後報告的資產負債表,齊心集團在12個月內到期的負債爲56.9億人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲3700萬人民幣。抵消這些,齊心集團有36.8億人民幣的現金和35.7億人民幣的應收款在12個月內到期。因此,它實際上擁有的流動資產比總負債多出15.2億人民幣。

This luscious liquidity implies that Shenzhen Comix Group's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that Shenzhen Comix Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種豐厚的流動性意味着齊心集團的資產負債表堅固如巨型紅杉樹。考慮到這一事實,我們認爲其資產負債表強勁得像牛一樣。簡單來說,齊心集團擁有的現金多於債務,毫無疑問是一個良好的跡象,表明它能夠安全管理其債務。

In fact Shenzhen Comix Group's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 40% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenzhen Comix Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

實際上,齊心集團的救星是其低債務水平,因爲其息稅前利潤(EBIT)在過去12個月中暴跌了40%。當涉及到償還債務時,下降的收益和含糖飲料對您的健康一樣無用。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個不錯的起點。但未來的收益,比其他任何因素,都將判斷齊心集團未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您想看看專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Shenzhen Comix Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Shenzhen Comix Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,一家公司只能用冷硬現金來償還債務,而不是會計利潤。齊心集團的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看看該業務如何將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。幸運的是,對於任何股東來說,齊心集團在過去三年中實際上產生的自由現金流超過了EBIT。這種強勁的現金轉化讓我們像在Daft Punk音樂會中當節拍開始時那樣興奮。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shenzhen Comix Group has CN¥3.10b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 454% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥648m. So we don't think Shenzhen Comix Group's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Shenzhen Comix Group that you should be aware of.

雖然調查一家公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,齊心集團擁有31億人民幣的淨現金和看起來不錯的資產負債表。最終的亮點是,它將454%的EBIT轉化爲自由現金流,帶來了64800萬人民幣。因此,我們認爲齊心集團的債務使用並不冒險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識是最多的。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們已經識別出齊心集團的3個警示信號,您應該注意。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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