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Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries (SZSE:002483) Could Easily Take On More Debt

Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries (SZSE:002483) Could Easily Take On More Debt

潤邦股份 (SZSE:002483) 可能很容易承擔更多債務
Simply Wall St ·  01/04 21:22

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002483) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

禾倫·巴菲特曾說道:「波動性遠不是風險的同義詞。」所以聰明的資金似乎知道,債務——通常涉及破產——在評估一家公司的風險時是一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到,潤邦股份(SZSE:002483)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這些債務帶來了多少風險?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時會變得危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果一個企業無法償還其借款人,那它就處於他們的控制之下。最終,如果公司無法履行法律義務償還債務,股東可能會一無所獲。然而,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是公司不得不以低價發行股票,永久稀釋股東的權益,僅僅是爲了加強其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表着廉價資本,尤其是在它替代了能夠以高回報率再投資的公司的稀釋。我們在思考公司債務使用時,首先考慮的是現金與債務的結合。

How Much Debt Does Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries Carry?

潤邦股份承擔了多少債務?

As you can see below, Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries had CN¥1.09b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥3.44b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.36b net cash.

如您在下方所見,潤邦股份在2024年9月的債務爲10.9億CN¥,與前一年大致相同。您可以點擊圖表以獲取更多詳細信息。然而,其資產負債表顯示它持有34.4億CN¥的現金,因此其淨現金實際爲23.6億CN¥。

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SZSE:002483 Debt to Equity History January 5th 2025
SZSE:002483 債務與股本歷史 2025年1月5日

How Healthy Is Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries' Balance Sheet?

江蘇潤邦股份的資產負債表健康嗎?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries had liabilities of CN¥5.36b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥533.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.44b and CN¥2.03b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥422.2m.

仔細分析最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到江蘇潤邦股份在12個月內有負債53.6億人民幣,超過這個期限的負債爲53370萬人民幣。另一方面,它有34.4億人民幣的現金和20.3億人民幣的應收款項到期內。因此,其負債比現金和(短期)應收款項的總和多出42220萬人民幣。

Since publicly traded Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries shares are worth a total of CN¥4.33b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

由於江蘇潤邦股份的市值總共有43.3億人民幣,因此這一負債水平似乎不會構成重大威脅。然而,隨着時間的推移,我們認爲值得關注其資產負債表的強度。儘管負債明顯,但江蘇潤邦股份擁有淨現金,所以可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

Another good sign is that Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries has been able to increase its EBIT by 24% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

另一個好跡象是,江蘇潤邦股份在十二個月內能夠將其EBIT增加24%,使其更容易償還債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個良好的起點。但更重要的是未來的收益,這將判斷江蘇潤邦股份未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

最後,一家公司只能用現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。江蘇潤邦股份可能在資產負債表上有淨現金,但查看該業務如何將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其需不需要和管理債務的能力。令任何股東高興的是,江蘇潤邦股份在過去三年中實際產生的自由現金流超過了EBIT。這種強勁的現金產生讓我們心中暖暖的,就像一隻穿着蜜蜂服裝的小狗。

Summing Up

總結

We could understand if investors are concerned about Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥2.36b. The cherry on top was that in converted 182% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in -CN¥405m. So we don't think Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Rainbow Heavy Industries that you should be aware of.

我們可以理解投資者對潤邦股份的負債感到擔憂,但我們可以放心的是,它的淨現金爲人民幣23.6億。最令人欣慰的是,它將182%的EBIT轉化爲自由現金流,帶來了-人民幣40500萬。因此,我們認爲潤邦股份使用債務並不危險。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。例如,我們發現了潤邦股份的兩個警告信號,您應該注意。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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