Is Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics (SZSE:300613) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics (SZSE:300613) Using Too Much Debt?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300613) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
由巴菲特的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李路坦言,他表示:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。」因此,在考慮任何特定股票的風險時,你需要明顯考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會毀掉一家公司。重要的是,富瀚微電子有限公司(SZSE:300613)確實有債務。但是,真正的問題是這些債務是否使公司變得有風險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
何時債務成爲問題?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
債務可以幫助公司,直到公司在償還債務方面遇到困難,無論是通過新的資本還是自由現金流。如果情況非常糟糕,貸方可能會控制這家公司。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以便宜的股價稀釋股東股份,僅僅是爲了控制債務。也就是說,最常見的情況是公司較好地管理其債務,並且對自己有利。在考慮一個公司使用多少債務時,首先要查看其現金和債務的綜合情況。
How Much Debt Does Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics Carry?
富瀚微電子的債務有多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics had CN¥579.8m of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥637.3m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.76b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.18b net cash position.
你可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示富瀚微電子在2024年9月的債務爲57980萬人民幣,比一年前的63730萬人民幣有所下降。但另一方面,它還有17.6億人民幣的現金,導致其淨現金爲11.8億人民幣。
How Healthy Is Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics' Balance Sheet?
上海富瀚微的資產負債表健康嗎?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics had liabilities of CN¥282.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥582.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.76b and CN¥472.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.37b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根據最近報告的資產負債表,上海富瀚微在12個月內的負債爲28250萬人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲58280萬人民幣。另一方面,它有現金17.6億人民幣和47210萬人民幣的應收賬款將在一年內到期。因此,它的流動資產實際上比總負債多13.7億人民幣。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這種短期流動性表明,上海富瀚微可能能夠輕鬆還清其債務,因爲其資產負債表非常穩健。簡而言之,上海富瀚微擁有淨現金,所以可以公平地說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
On the other hand, Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics's EBIT dived 13%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
另一方面,上海富瀚微的EBIT在過去一年中下降了13%。我們認爲這種表現如果頻繁出現,可能會導致股票面臨困難。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解了大部分債務。但是,最終業務的未來盈利能力將決定上海富瀚微是否能夠隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想知道專業人士的看法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
但我們的最終考慮也是重要的,因爲公司不能用紙上利潤來償還債務;它需要真金白銀。雖然上海富瀚微在其資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍值得關注的是它將稅息前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們理解它構建(或侵蝕)現金餘額的速度。在過去三年中,上海富瀚微實際上產生的自由現金流超過了EBIT。這種強勁的現金轉換讓我們像在Daft Punk音樂會的節拍開始時一樣興奮。
Summing Up
總結
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics has net cash of CN¥1.18b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 120% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥300m. So we don't think Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanghai Fullhan Microelectronics that you should be aware of before investing here.
雖然我們理解那些對債務感到擔憂的投資者,但請記住,富瀚微的淨現金爲11.8億人民幣,以及流動資產大於負債。最值得一提的是,它將120%的EBIT轉化爲自由現金流,帶來了30000萬元人民幣。因此,我們認爲富瀚微的債務使用並不危險。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點關注的領域。但最終,每家公司可能都會存在資產負債表以外的風險。例如,我們發現富瀚微存在2個警示信號,您在此投資前應該注意。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。
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