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Goldman Sachs Delays $3,000 Gold Forecast, Sees Fewer Rate Cuts In 2025

Goldman Sachs Delays $3,000 Gold Forecast, Sees Fewer Rate Cuts In 2025

高盛推遲3000美元黃金預測,預計2025年減息次數減少
Benzinga ·  01/06 06:21

Goldman Sachs has postponed its projection for gold prices to hit $3,000 per ounce, shifting the timeline from early 2026 to mid-2026. The investment bank adjusted its expectations from the Federal Reserve, as tighter-than-expected monetary policy would influence gold prices.

高盛已經推遲了其黃金價格達到每盎司3000美元的預測,將時間表從2026年初推遲至2026年中期。投資銀行調整了對聯儲局的預期,因爲超出預期的緊縮貨幣政策將影響黃金價格。

Goldman analysts Lina Thomas and Daan Struyven forecast gold to reach $2,910 per ounce by the end of the year. The bank's economists now anticipate 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2025, down from the previously expected 100 basis points.

高盛分析師莉娜·托馬斯和丹·斯特尤文預測黃金將在年底前達到每盎司2910美元。該銀行的經濟學家現在預期到2025年會有75個點子的減息,低於之前預期的100個點子。

"Opposing forces — lower speculative demand and structurally higher central bank buying — have effectively offset each other, keeping gold prices range-bound over the past few months," they said in a note per Bloomberg's report, attributing the long-term demand to central banks buying appetite.

他們在彭博社的報告中表示:「相反的力量——較低的投機需求和結構性增加的中央銀行購買——實際上相互抵消,導致黃金價格在過去幾個月內保持區間波動。」他們將長期需求歸因於中央銀行的購買意願。

"Looking ahead, we forecast monthly purchases to average 38 tons through mid-2026," they stated.

他們表示:「展望未來,我們預測到2026年中期,每月的購買量將平均爲38噸。」

Gold delivered a robust performance in 2024, gaining 27% due to monetary easing, central bank purchases, and lingering inflation fears. However, the rally lost momentum in late 2024 as the U.S. dollar strengthened following the election-driven optimism.

黃金在2024年表現強勁,收益27%,得益於貨幣寬鬆、中央銀行購買以及持續的通脹擔憂。然而,由於選舉驅動的樂觀情緒,美國美元在2024年末走強,導致黃金價格失去了上漲動能。

Still, the U.S. is finding other ways to take advantage of higher-for-longer gold prices. President Joe Biden just approved the final permit for the Stibnite Project in Idaho, a mining initiative led by Perpetua Resources (NASDAQ:PPTA) and backed by billionaire investor John Paulson.

儘管如此,美國正在尋找其他方法來利用長期高企的黃金價格。喬·拜登總統剛剛批准了位於愛達荷州的斯蒂布奈特項目的最終許可,這是由Perpetua Resources(納斯達克:PPTA)主導,並得到億萬富翁投資者約翰·保爾森支持的採礦計劃。

This project could supply more than 35% of the U.S. demand for antimony, a critical mineral essential for solar panels, flame retardants and military equipment, while also producing around 450,000 ounces of gold annually.

該項目有望滿足美國超過35%的銻需求,銻是一種關鍵礦物,主要用於太陽能電池板、防火材料和軍工設備,同時年均生產約45萬盎司黃金。

Although the project cost around $1.3 billion in 2020, the final number will be higher. Accounted reserves include 148 million pounds of antimony and 6 million ounces of gold, and production is set for 2028.

雖然該項目在2020年的成本約爲13億,但最終數字將更高。覈算儲備包括14800萬磅銻和600萬盎司黃金,生產計劃於2028年開始。

Thus, the dual output of gold and antimony offers financial resilience, reducing dependence and insulating the project from external price fluctuations.

因此,黃金和銻的雙重產出提供了財務韌性,減少了依賴性,並將項目隔離於外部價格波動。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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