Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Keli Motor Group (SZSE:002892)
Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Keli Motor Group (SZSE:002892)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. In light of that, when we looked at Keli Motor Group (SZSE:002892) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
如果我們想找到一種能夠長期翻倍的股票,我們應該關注哪些潛在趨勢?理想情況下,企業會顯示出兩個趨勢;首先是資本回報率(ROCE)的增長,其次是投入資本的增加。如果你看到這些,通常意味着這是一個擁有優秀商業模式和大量盈利再投資機會的公司。鑑於此,當我們查看科力爾(SZSE:002892)及其ROCE趨勢時,並沒有感到特別興奮。
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
什麼是資本回報率(ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Keli Motor Group:
爲確保清楚,如果你不確定,ROCE是一個評估公司在其業務中每投入一單位資本所賺取的稅前收入(以百分比表示)的指標。分析師使用以下公式計算科力爾的ROCE:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
資本利用率 = 利息和稅前利潤(EBIT) ÷ (總資產 - 流動負債)
0.048 = CN¥75m ÷ (CN¥2.2b - CN¥624m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
0.048 = CN¥7500萬 ÷ (CN¥22億 - CN¥624m)(基於截至2024年9月的最近十二個月數據)。
Therefore, Keli Motor Group has an ROCE of 4.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Electrical industry average of 5.8%.
因此,科力爾的ROCE爲4.8%。從絕對值來看,這是一個較低的回報,但大約與電氣行業的平均水平5.8%相當。
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Keli Motor Group's past further, check out this free graph covering Keli Motor Group's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
雖然過去並不能代表未來,但了解一家公司在歷史上的表現是有幫助的,這就是我們在上面提供這個圖表的原因。如果你有興趣進一步調查科力爾的過去,可以查看這個涵蓋科力爾過去收益、營業收入和現金流的免費圖表。
What Can We Tell From Keli Motor Group's ROCE Trend?
我們可以從科力爾的ROCE趨勢中得出什麼?
In terms of Keli Motor Group's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 13% over the last five years. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
就科力爾歷史上的ROCE變動而言,趨勢並不理想。更具體地說,ROCE在過去五年裏下降了13%。儘管如此,考慮到營業收入和在業務中使用的資產數量都增加了,這可能表明公司正在投資於增長,而額外的資本導致了ROCE的短期下降。如果增加的資本產生額外的回報,業務以及從中獲得收益的股東在長期內將受益。
On a side note, Keli Motor Group's current liabilities have increased over the last five years to 28% of total assets, effectively distorting the ROCE to some degree. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 4.8%. Keep an eye on this ratio, because the business could encounter some new risks if this metric gets too high.
順便提一下,科力爾的流動負債在過去五年裏增加至總資產的28%,在一定程度上扭曲了ROCE。如果沒有這次增加,ROCE可能甚至會低於4.8%。請關注這個比例,因爲如果這個指標過高,業務可能會面臨一些新的風險。
In Conclusion...
結論...
Even though returns on capital have fallen in the short term, we find it promising that revenue and capital employed have both increased for Keli Motor Group. And the stock has followed suit returning a meaningful 97% to shareholders over the last five years. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.
儘管短期內資本回報率下降,但我們發現科力爾的營業收入和投入資本都增加了,這讓人感到振奮。此外,股票的表現也相應上漲,過去五年爲股東帶來了97%的可觀回報。因此,如果這些增長趨勢持續下去,我們對股票未來保持樂觀。
On a final note, we found 3 warning signs for Keli Motor Group (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
最後,我們發現了科力爾的3個警告信號(1個不應該被忽視),你應該注意。
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
對於喜歡投資於穩健公司的投資者,可以查看這個免費的穩健資產負債表和高股本回報率公司的列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。