BCE: Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2025?
BCE: Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2025?
Should you buy, sell or hold BCE (TSX:BCE) stock? BCE is historically viewed as a stellar long-term investment with one of the best dividends on the market.
您應該買入、賣出還是持有BCE (TSX:BCE)股票?BCE被歷史上視爲一種恒星的長期投資,是市場上最佳分紅派息股票之一。
Unfortunately, BCE's performance has lagged in recent years. Specifically, the stock has dropped significantly in recent years when compared to its telecom peers.
不幸的是,BCE在最近幾年的表現落後於其他公司。具體而言,與其電信同行相比,該股票在近年來大幅下跌。
This begs the question as to whether investors should look to buy, sell, or hold BCE in 2025.
這引出了一個問題,投資者是否應該考慮在2025年買入、賣出或持有BCE。
Let's try to answer that by looking at the case for each.
讓我們試着通過查看每種情況來回答這一問題。
The case to buy
買入的理由
Let's start with the obvious. BCE is a defensive gem that has paid out juicy dividends for over a century without fail. BCE's wireless segment alone is the envy of its peers, while its sprawling media segment provides an alternative revenue stream.
讓我們從明顯的開始。BCE是一隻防禦型的優秀股票,超過一個世紀以來一直穩定地支付豐厚的分紅派息。BCE的無線部門單獨就是其同行的羨慕,而其龐大的媒體部門則提供了另一種營業收入來源。
The bulk of BCE's current issues could be traced back to the interest rate hikes we saw in recent years. Would it not be reasonable to assume that BCE will right the ship now that rates are beginning to drop again?
BCE當前問題的主要原因可以追溯到我們近年來看到的利率上升。現在利率開始下降,假設BCE將會扭轉局面不是很合理嗎?
The icing on the cake for prospective investors considering BCE is the stock price. As of the time of writing, BCE trades at just over $34 per share, less than $3 off its 52-week low. Additionally, the stock has tanked well over 35% in the trailing 12 months.
對考慮投資BCE的潛在投資者來說,股票價格無疑是錦上添花。截至撰寫時,BCE的股價在34美元以上,離其52周低點不足3美元。此外,該股票在過去12個月中已經暴跌超過35%。
This makes it a bargain buy for some longer-term investors, but that's not all.
這使得對一些長期投資者來說成爲一個值得購買的機會,但這並不是全部。
While the stock has dropped, the yield on BCE's already juicy yield has swelled. As of the time of writing, the yield on that dividend has hit 11.6%. This makes it an insane investment where just a $12,000 investment will earn an income of nearly $1,400.
儘管股價下跌,但BCE的豐厚收益率卻膨脹了。撰寫時,那個分紅的收益率已經達到了11.6%。這使得僅需投資12,000美元就能賺取近1,400美元的收入,實在是一個瘋狂的投資。
As to the sustainability of that dividend, BCE has announced it would cease its annual increases while it continues its restructuring.
關於該分紅的可持續性,BCE已宣佈在繼續重組期間將停止每年的增加。
So far, that includes shuddering some of the poorer performing media assets and selling off its stake in MLSE. Funds used from that whopping $4.7 billion sale were then used to acquire U.S.-based Ziply Fiber.
到目前爲止,這包括關閉一些表現較差的媒體資產,並出售其在MLSE的股份。用於那筆巨額47億的銷售所得資金隨後被用於收購美國的Ziply Fiber。
The U.S. is largely underserved when it comes to fibre penetration, and BCE's expertise could prove lucrative over the longer run.
在光纖滲透方面,美國在很大程度上仍然處於服務不足的狀態,而BCE的專業知識在長遠看來可能會非常有利可圖。
The case to sell
賣出的理由
BCE's core subscription business of wireless, internet, wireline, and TV have shown weakness in recent years. That's especially true for both the wireline and TV segments, as subscribers continue to "cut the cord" and turn to streaming and wireless devices.
BCE的核心訂閱業務,包括無線Internet Plus-related、有線網絡和電視,在近年來表現出疲軟。尤其是有線網絡和電視部門,訂閱用戶數持續減少,人們選擇"剪斷電線",轉向流媒體和無線設備。
In other words, there are cracks in that core defensive moat. The company needs to address them, or evolve. To be fair, BCE has taken those hard steps to correct itself, including selling off parts of its media business as well as undergoing a massive restructuring.
換句話說,其核心防禦性護城河存在裂縫。公司需要解決這些問題,或者進行轉型。公平地說,BCE已經採取了這些艱難的措施來糾正自己,包括出售部分媒體業務,以及進行大規模重組。
Unfortunately, that means BCE is well in the midst of a multi-year transformation, which is something that not all investors will want to stay around for. In fact, things may need to get worse before they get better.
不幸的是,這意味着BCE正處於多年的轉型之中,而並非所有投資者都願意等候。在事實上,情況可能需要在好轉之前變得更糟。
In short, rather than waiting for BCE to turn around, investors with shorter timelines may be better suited to look elsewhere for growth.
簡而言之,對於短期內希望實現增長的投資者而言,與其等待BCE的轉機,不如考慮其他地方的增長機會。
The case to hold
持有的理由
The hardest decision on whether to buy, hold, or sell BCE rests with existing investors of BCE. If BCE completes its planned turnaround, investors can expect solid growth to resume within a few years.
對於當前的BCE投資者來說,是否買入、持有或賣出BCE是最艱難的決策。如果BCE完成其計劃的轉型,投資者可以期待在幾年內恢復穩定的增長。
On the other hand, if that growth takes longer than expected, or the market outperforms BCE (as it did last year), investors will be missing out on some serious growth.
另一方面,如果增長需要比預期更長的時間,或者市場表現優於BCE(如去年那樣),投資者將會錯失一些重要的增長機會。
This leaves existing investors on a middle ground where the decision to hold is ultimately based on risk and the timeline.
這使得現有投資者處於一箇中間地帶,持有的決定最終基於風險和時間線。
Will you buy, sell, or hold BCE stock?
你會買入、賣出還是持有BCE股票?
BCE was often referred to as a defensive investment with an impressive moat. But while that defensive appeal (and its corresponding opportunity) still exists, it is no longer the impenetrable fortress it once was.
BCE通常被稱爲一種具有市場護城河的防禦性投資。但雖然這種防禦性吸引力(及其相應的機會)仍然存在,但它已不再是曾經那種不可攻破的堡壘。
In other words, buying BCE stock right now isn't for everyone, but it could be ideal for those with longer timelines.
換句話說,立即購買BCE股票並不適合所有人,但對於那些有較長投資期限的人來說,這可能是理想的選擇。
In my opinion, investors with an appetite for risk and longer timelines may want to consider a small position in BCE.
在我看來,具有風險偏好和較長投資期限的投資者可能想考慮在BCE中小額持倉。