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Worried About Trump's Tariffs? 2 Resilient TSX Stocks to Buy Now

Worried About Trump's Tariffs? 2 Resilient TSX Stocks to Buy Now

擔心特朗普的關稅?現在可以買入的兩隻抗壓TSX股票
The Motley Fool ·  01/07 10:15

The possibility of 25% tariffs on Canadian imports under a potential Trump presidency has many investors nervous — and understandably so. With Canada sending 77% of its exports (a whopping $548 billion worth) to the U.S. in 2023, the concern is real. But before you consider moving your investments into cash, let's look at two TSX heavyweights that could weather the storm.

在潛在的特朗普總統任期內,對加拿大進口徵收25%關稅的可能性讓許多投資者感到緊張——這顯然是有理由的。2023年,加拿大向美國出口的77%(價值高達5480億的巨額金額)引發了人們的真實擔憂。但是,在考慮將投資轉爲現金之前,讓我們看看兩個能夠抵禦風暴的TSX重量級股票。

While energy stocks and auto parts manufacturers might face significant direct hits from tariffs, some sectors are better positioned to thrive. Here are two compelling and resilient stock investment options that could help protect your portfolio: Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY) and Restaurant Brands International (TSX:QSR) stock.

儘管能源股票和汽車零件製造商可能會受到關稅的重大直接衝擊,但某些行業板塊在蓬勃發展方面更處於有利位置。以下是兩個引人注目且具有韌性的股票投資選項,可以幫助保護您的投資組合:加拿大皇家銀行(TSX:RY)和餐飲品牌國際(TSX:QSR)股票。

Resilient TSX stock: Royal Bank of Canada

韌性TSX股票:加拿大皇家銀行

Royal Bank of Canada, popularly known as RBC, isn't just Canada's largest bank — it's a financial fortress with built-in tariff protection. Generally, financial services can be expectedly exempt from trade tariffs, and the chances that Donald Trump may impose barriers on services trade remain significantly low.

加拿大皇家銀行,通常稱爲RBC,不僅是加拿大最大的銀行——它還是一座擁有內置關稅保護的金融堡壘。通常情況下,金融服務可以預期免於貿易關稅,而特朗普可能對服務貿易施加障礙的機會仍然相對較低。

Even if tariffs were imposed on some banking products, the bank has strategically positioned itself in the U.S. market, making it its "second home." RBC Capital Markets ranks as the ninth-largest U.S. investment bank, while Royal Bank's wealth management arm stands as the sixth-largest public wealth advisor in America. A local presence in the U.S. market will make RY stock immune to any direct tariff threats on Canada.

即使一些銀行產品受到關稅影響,這家銀行也在美國市場上戰略性佈局,使之成爲其「第二故鄉」。RBC資本市場在美國投資銀行中排名第九,而皇家銀行的财富管理部門在美國公共財富顧問中則排名第六。在美國市場上的本土存在將使RY股票免受對加拿大的任何直接關稅威脅。

Trump's trade tariffs may shock the Canadian economy and weaken its currency. However, any potential weakening of the Canadian dollar due to tariffs could materially benefit RBC stock. With 26.2% of revenue and 17.7% of net income coming from U.S. operations in fiscal 2024, currency headwinds could turn into tailwinds for RBC's profitable operations.

特朗普的貿易關稅可能會衝擊加拿大經濟並削弱其貨幣。然而,任何由於關稅可能導致的加幣貶值都可能對RBC股票產生實質性好處。在2024財年,RBC大約26.2%的營業收入和17.7%的凈利潤來自美國業務,貨幣逆風可能會轉變爲RBC盈利業務的順風。

Whatever short-term economic shocks new trade restrictions may cause to Canada, Royal Bank stock has successfully weathered economic headwinds since its initial public offering (IPO) in 1918. It's most likely resilient enough to shrug off the impact of Trump's tariffs.

無論新的貿易限制對加拿大造成什麼短期經濟衝擊,自1918年首次公開募股(IPO)以來,加拿大皇家銀行股票成功地抵禦了經濟逆風。它很可能足夠強韌,可以抵消特朗普關稅的影響。

For income-focused investors, RBC's 3.4% dividend yield looks particularly attractive. The bank has grown its dividend at an impressive 9% annual rate over the past three years, demonstrating its commitment to shareholder returns, an attribute that has remained present even in challenging times.

對於以收入爲導向的投資者來說,加拿大皇家銀行3.4%的股息收益率顯得格外吸引人。過去三年,銀行的股息年增長率高達9%,展示了其對股東收益的承諾,這一特質即使在艱難時期也依然存在。

Restaurant Brands International

餐飲品牌國際

Think Tim Hortons, Burger King, and Popeyes. Restaurant Brands International's $40 billion annual revenue franchise system operates in 120 countries, making it widely diversified. What's particularly clever about the food industry franchisor's setup is how it structured its supply chain. Most of Restaurant Brands's U.S. operations source ingredients locally through American suppliers and cooperatives, effectively sidestepping potential tariff impacts.

想想TIM、漢堡王和教父雞。餐飲品牌國際400億加幣的年度營業收入特許經營系統在120個國家運營,廣泛多元化。該食品行業特許經營商的聰明之處在於其供應鏈結構。餐飲品牌在美國的大多數運營通過美國供應商和合作社本地採購原材料,有效地規避了潛在的關稅影響。

While Tim Hortons (representing 49.3% of sales in the first three quarters of 2024) does have some Canadian manufacturing facilities, the company maintains strategic redundancy with facilities on both sides of the border. For instance, the business operates coffee roasting facilities in both Ontario and New York, ensuring supply chain flexibility.

雖然TIM(在2024年前三季度佔銷售額的49.3%)確實有一些加拿大製造設施,但該公司在邊境兩側維持了戰略冗餘。例如,業務在安大略和紐約都有咖啡烘焙設施,確保供應鏈的靈活性。

Restaurant Brands International's numbers tell a resilient and compelling growth story that was sustained through a high-inflation period post-pandemic: revenue is up 38.2% compared to three years ago, while net income has grown an impressive 44.8%. Trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 17.9 (well below the industry average of 26), QSR stock remains reasonably valued and offers a generous 3.6% dividend yield. The dividend has been growing for nine consecutive years.

餐飲品牌國際的數據顯示,經歷高通脹後持續的復甦和引人注目的增長故事:與三年前相比,營業收入增長了38.2%,而凈利潤以44.8%的令人印象深刻的速度增長。以17.9的前瞻市盈率交易(遠低於26的行業平均水平),快餐股票仍然有合理的估值,並提供慷慨的3.6%股息收益率。該股息已經連續九年增長。

Investor takeaway

投資者總結

While tariffs would undoubtedly create challenges for the Canadian economy, both RBC stock and Restaurant Brands stock have built-in resilience through their U.S. presence, diversified operations, and strong market positions. Their healthy dividend yields can provide steady income while you wait out any market turbulence.

雖然關稅無疑會給加拿大經濟帶來挑戰,但加拿皇家銀行股票和餐飲品牌股票通過其美國業務、多元化的運營和強大的市場地位,內置了抗壓性。它們健康的股息收益率可以在您等待市場動盪時提供穩定的收入。

Remember, successful long-term investing often means thinking beyond the latest headlines. The two resilient TSX stocks have weathered economic storms before and have positioned themselves to potentially thrive even in challenging conditions. As always, consider diversifying your personal investments to build more capital resilience.

請記住,成功的長期投資往往意味着超越最新頭條新聞。兩個具有抗壓性的TSX股票之前已成功應對經濟風暴,並已爲在艱難情況下可能蓬勃發展做好了準備。像往常一樣,考慮分散個人投資,以建立更強的資本抗壓能力。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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