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Are Chengdu Xuguang Electronics Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600353) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

Are Chengdu Xuguang Electronics Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600353) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

考慮到該股票最近的疲軟,旭光電子(SHSE:600353)的基本面是否足夠好,值得購買?
Simply Wall St ·  01/07 12:24

It is hard to get excited after looking at Chengdu Xuguang Electronics' (SHSE:600353) recent performance, when its stock has declined 19% over the past month. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Chengdu Xuguang Electronics' ROE.

在看到旭光電子(SHSE:600353)最近的表現後,很難感到興奮,因爲其股票在過去一個月內下跌了19%。 但是如果你仔細觀察,就會發現其主要財務指標相當不錯,這可能意味着該股票在長期內可能會上漲,因爲市場通常會獎勵更具韌性的長期基本面。 在本文中,我們決定重點關注旭光電子的ROE。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

淨資產收益率(ROE)是一項測試,旨在評估公司如何有效地增長其價值並管理投資者資金。換句話說,它是一個盈利能力比率,衡量由公司股東提供的資本的回報率。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算股東權益回報率?

The formula for return on equity is:

股東權益回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Chengdu Xuguang Electronics is:

所以,根據以上公式,旭光電子的ROE爲:

5.3% = CN¥100m ÷ CN¥1.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

5.3% = CN¥10000萬 ÷ CN¥19億(基於截至2024年9月的過去12個月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.05 in profit.

「回報」是業務在過去一年中獲得的收入。這意味着每當股東權益價值爲CN¥1時,公司就產生了CN¥0.05的凈利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們了解到ROE是衡量公司盈利能力的一種指標。基於公司選擇再投資或「保留」的利潤,我們能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。在其他條件相等的情況下,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤留存的公司通常相比那些沒有相同特徵的公司擁有更高的增長率。

Chengdu Xuguang Electronics' Earnings Growth And 5.3% ROE

旭光電子的收益增長和5.3%的ROE

At first glance, Chengdu Xuguang Electronics' ROE doesn't look very promising. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.3%. On the other hand, Chengdu Xuguang Electronics reported a moderate 18% net income growth over the past five years. Taking into consideration that the ROE is not particularly high, we reckon that there could also be other factors at play which could be influencing the company's growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

乍一看,旭光電子的ROE似乎並不太有前景。然而,深入研究顯示該公司的ROE與行業平均水平的6.3%相似。另一方面,旭光電子在過去五年中報告了18%的適度凈利潤增長。考慮到ROE並不特別高,我們認爲還有其他因素可能在影響公司的增長。例如,公司管理層可能做出了一些好的戰略決策,或者公司有較低的分紅派息比率。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Chengdu Xuguang Electronics' growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 3.9% in the same period, which is great to see.

接下來,與行業凈利潤增長相比,我們發現旭光電子的增長在同一時期內與行業平均增長3.9%相比是相當高的,這非常令人欣喜。

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SHSE:600353 Past Earnings Growth January 7th 2025
SHSE:600353過往收益增長2025年1月7日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Chengdu Xuguang Electronics''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增長是股票估值的一大因素。投資者應該儘量確定預期的盈利增長或下降,無論是哪種情況,是否已被定價。這樣,他們就可以大致了解股票是朝着藍海前進,還是在泥濘的水域中等待。如果您想了解旭光電子的估值,可以查看其市盈率與行業的對比。

Is Chengdu Xuguang Electronics Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

旭光電子是否有效利用其利潤?

Chengdu Xuguang Electronics has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 34% (or a retention ratio of 66%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

旭光電子在盈利增長方面表現出色,中等三年中位數派息比率爲34%(或保留比率爲66%),且盈利增長有相當可觀,這意味着公司一直在高效利用其利潤。

Additionally, Chengdu Xuguang Electronics has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 30% of its profits over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Chengdu Xuguang Electronics' future ROE will rise to 9.7% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

此外,旭光電子在至少十年的時間裏都支付了分紅派息,這意味着公司非常重視與股東分享其利潤。在研究最新的分析師共識數據時,我們發現預計公司在未來三年將繼續支付約30%的凈利潤。不過,預測顯示儘管公司的分紅比例預計不會有太大變化,旭光電子未來的ROE仍將上升至9.7%。

Summary

總結

Overall, we feel that Chengdu Xuguang Electronics certainly does have some positive factors to consider. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Chengdu Xuguang Electronics.

總體來說,我們認爲旭光電子確實有一些積極的因素值得考慮。儘管ROE較低,但公司憑藉較高的再投資率實現了可觀的盈利增長。雖然我們不會完全否定這家公司,但我們會盡量評估業務的風險,以便對公司做出更有根據的決策。我們的風險儀表將包含我們爲旭光電子識別出的一個風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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