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We Think Thermo Fisher Scientific (NYSE:TMO) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Thermo Fisher Scientific (NYSE:TMO) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲賽默飛世爾(紐交所:TMO)能夠保持其債務的領先地位
Simply Wall St ·  01/07 22:15

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (NYSE:TMO) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍華德·馬克斯很好地表達了這一點,他說,與其擔心股票價格的波動,不如關注'永久損失的可能性是我所擔心的風險……而我認識的每一個務實投資者也都對此感到擔憂。' 當你審視一家公司的風險時,自然要考慮其資產負債表,因爲債務往往與企業的崩潰有關。重要的是,賽默飛世爾公司(紐交所:TMO)確實負有債務。但這筆債務對股東來說是否構成擔憂?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果企業無法償還其債權人,那麼它就處於他們的控制之下。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還其債務,可能會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以廉價價格發行股票,以永久稀釋股東權益,僅僅是爲了加強其資產負債表。當然,許多公司在沒有任何負面後果的情況下,利用債務來資助增長。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是一起考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Thermo Fisher Scientific's Net Debt?

賽默飛世爾的淨債務是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Thermo Fisher Scientific had US$35.3b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$6.65b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$28.7b.

下面的圖表可以點擊以獲取更詳細的信息,顯示到2024年9月,賽默飛世爾的債務爲353億美金;與前一年大致相同。然而,它有66.5億美金的現金抵消這部分債務,使得淨債務約爲287億美金。

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NYSE:TMO Debt to Equity History January 7th 2025
紐交所:TMO 債務對股本歷史 2025年1月7日

How Strong Is Thermo Fisher Scientific's Balance Sheet?

賽默飛世爾的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Thermo Fisher Scientific had liabilities of US$14.6b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$36.7b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$6.65b in cash and US$9.80b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$34.8b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看到,賽默飛世爾的負債爲146億美元,需在一年內到期,367億美元的負債則在此之後到期。對此,賽默飛世爾有66.5億美元的現金,以及98億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和近期應收賬款的總和還多348億美元。

Since publicly traded Thermo Fisher Scientific shares are worth a very impressive total of US$203.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

由於公開交易的賽默飛世爾股票總值非常可觀,達到2035億美元,因此這一負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。然而,我們認爲值得關注其資產負債表的強度,因爲這可能會隨時間變化。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了衡量一家公司相對於其收益的債務水平,我們計算其淨負債與利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)的比率,以及其利息和稅項前利潤(EBIT)與其利息支出(利息支付比率)的比率。因此,我們考慮了包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務的情況。

Thermo Fisher Scientific's net debt is 2.7 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 24.4 times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Notably Thermo Fisher Scientific's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Thermo Fisher Scientific can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

賽默飛世爾的淨債務是其EBITDA的2.7倍,雖然這是一種顯著的槓桿比例,但仍可接受。但是,其EBIT大約是其利息支出的24.4倍,這意味着公司並沒有支付維持這一負債水平的高成本。即使低成本被證明不可持續,這也是個好兆頭。值得注意的是,賽默飛世爾的EBIT在過去一年基本保持平穩。理想情況下,它可以通過啓動收益增長來減少債務負擔。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的地方。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定賽默飛世爾能否在未來增強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,展示分析師的利潤預測。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Thermo Fisher Scientific generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 82% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

但我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲公司不能用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要真實的現金。因此,值得檢查EBIT有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在過去三年中,賽默飛世爾的自由現金流佔其EBIT的82%,遠超我們的預期。這使其在需要時有能力償還債務。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Thermo Fisher Scientific's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Thermo Fisher Scientific takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with Thermo Fisher Scientific , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

高興的是,賽默飛世爾出色的利息覆蓋率意味着它在債務方面佔有優勢。但是,從一個更嚴肅的角度來看,我們對其淨債務與EBITDA的比例稍感擔憂。考慮到這些數據,我們認爲賽默飛世爾在債務方面採取了相當明智的做法。雖然這帶來了一些風險,但也可以爲股東提高回報。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是起點。但最終,任何公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。我們已經發現賽默飛世爾有1個警告信號,並且了解這些信號應成爲您投資過程的一部分。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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