share_log

Pulling Back 3.6% This Week, China Everbright Bank's SHSE:601818) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

Pulling Back 3.6% This Week, China Everbright Bank's SHSE:601818) One-year Decline in Earnings May Be Coming Into Investors Focus

光大銀行(SHSE:601818)本週回落3.6%,可能引起投資者對一年盈利下滑的關注。
Simply Wall St ·  01/08 08:02

If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But investors can boost returns by picking market-beating companies to own shares in. For example, the China Everbright Bank Company Limited (SHSE:601818) share price is up 26% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 5.4% (not including dividends). That's a solid performance by our standards! The longer term returns have not been as good, with the stock price only 9.1% higher than it was three years ago.

如果您想在股市中複利增值,可以通過購買指數基金來實現。但投資者可以通過選擇市場表現優於大盤的公司來提高回報。例如,光大銀行股份有限公司(SHSE:601818)在過去一年中的股價上漲了26%,明顯超過了約5.4%的市場回報(不包括分紅派息)。這是我們標準下的良好表現!長期回報則不如預期,股價僅比三年前高出9.1%。

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 3.6%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

由於長期表現良好,但最近回落了3.6%,讓我們檢查一下基本面是否與股價相匹配。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

雖然有效市場假說仍然會被一些人教授,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。考察市場情緒隨時間變化的一種方法是查看公司股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

Over the last twelve months, China Everbright Bank actually shrank its EPS by 15%.

在過去的十二個月中,光大銀行的每股收益實際上下降了15%。

Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Therefore, it seems likely that investors are putting more weight on metrics other than EPS, at the moment.

考慮到股價上漲,我們懷疑市場在用每股收益來衡量進展。因此,目前投資者似乎更看重除每股收益之外的其他指標。

Absent any improvement, we don't think a thirst for dividends is pushing up the China Everbright Bank's share price. Revenue actually dropped 6.6% over last year. Usually that correlates with a lower share price, but let's face it, the gyrations of the market are sometimes only as clear as mud.

沒有任何改善,我們認爲對分紅的渴望並沒有推動光大銀行的股價。營業收入實際上比去年下降了6.6%。通常這與股價下跌相關,但事實是,市場的波動有時就像泥水一樣難以捉摸。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。

big
SHSE:601818 Earnings and Revenue Growth January 8th 2025
SHSE:601818 2025年1月8日的收益和營業收入增長

China Everbright Bank is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. If you are thinking of buying or selling China Everbright Bank stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.

光大銀行是一個知名的股票,擁有衆多分析師的覆蓋,表明對未來增長有一定的可見性。如果您打算買入或賣出光大銀行的股票,您應該查看這份免費的報告,其中展示了分析師對未來利潤的共識預期。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China Everbright Bank's TSR for the last 1 year was 33%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報和股價回報是非常重要的。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而總股東回報包括分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價資本募資或拆分的利益。從某種程度上來說,總股東回報提供了更全面的股票回報情況。實際上,光大銀行過去1年的總股東回報爲33%,超過了之前提到的股價回報。公司的分紅因此提升了總股東回報。

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's nice to see that China Everbright Bank shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 33% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 3% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China Everbright Bank that you should be aware of.

很高興看到光大銀行的股東在過去一年中獲得了33%的總股東回報。而這包括了分紅。由於一年期的總股東回報率優於五年期的總股東回報率(後者爲每年3%),這似乎表明該股票的表現最近有所改善。鑑於股價動量保持強勁,值得更仔細地關注該股票,以免錯失機會。雖然考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響非常重要,但還有其他因素更爲關鍵。例如,我們發現了1個需要注意的光大銀行的警示信號。

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

當然,你可能會通過其他地方尋找一個絕佳的投資機會。所以請查看這個我們預計將增長每股收益的公司免費列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論