Investors More Bullish on Guizhou Taiyong-Changzheng TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002927) This Week as Stock Hikes 13%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Three Years
Investors More Bullish on Guizhou Taiyong-Changzheng TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002927) This Week as Stock Hikes 13%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Three Years
By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. Just take a look at Guizhou Taiyong-Changzheng Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002927), which is up 41%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 23% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 12%, including dividends.
通過購買指數基金,投資者可以近似市場的平均回報。但我們許多人敢於夢想更高的回報,並自己構建投資組合。看看泰永長徵科技有限公司(深交所:002927),在三年內上漲了41%,遠超23%的市場下跌(不包括分紅派息)。另一方面,最近的回報並不是很好,股東的回報僅爲12%,包括分紅派息。
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
在過去一週強勁上漲後,值得看看長期回報是否是由基本面改善驅動的。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務的表現。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
Over the last three years, Guizhou Taiyong-Changzheng TechnologyLtd failed to grow earnings per share, which fell 25% (annualized).
在過去三年中,貴陽泰永長徵科技有限公司的每股收益未能增長,下降了25%(年化)。
This means it's unlikely the market is judging the company based on earnings growth. Given this situation, it makes sense to look at other metrics too.
這意味着市場不太可能僅根據收益增長來評估公司。在這種情況下,查看其他指標也是有意義的。
The modest 0.6% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. We severely doubt anyone is particularly impressed with the modest 1.4% three-year revenue growth rate. While we don't have an obvious theory to explain the share price rise, a closer look at the data might be enlightening.
適度的0.6%的分紅收益率不太可能支撐股價。我們嚴重懷疑沒有人會對1.4%的三年營業收入增長率感到特別印象深刻。儘管我們沒有明顯的理論來解釋股價的上漲,但仔細觀察數據可能會很有啓發性。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。
Take a more thorough look at Guizhou Taiyong-Changzheng TechnologyLtd's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通過這份關於貴州泰永長徵科技有限公司資產負債表的免費報告,更全面地了解其財務健康狀況。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Guizhou Taiyong-Changzheng TechnologyLtd's TSR for the last 3 years was 46%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,理解總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異非常重要。TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何分紅都被再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。因此,對於那些支付豐厚分紅的公司來說,TSR通常遠高於股價回報。巧合的是,貴州泰永長徵科技有限公司過去三年的TSR爲46%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。顯然,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's good to see that Guizhou Taiyong-Changzheng TechnologyLtd has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 12% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 2% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Guizhou Taiyong-Changzheng TechnologyLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
很高興看到貴州泰永長徵科技有限公司在過去12個月中爲股東提供了12%的總股東回報。當然,這包括分紅。這樣表現好於過去五年的年化回報率2%,這意味着公司最近表現得更好。鑑於股價勢頭依然強勁,值得仔細看看這隻股票,以免錯過機會。 我發現從長期來看觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理是非常有趣的。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如風險——貴州泰永長徵科技有限公司有2個警告信號(還有1個不太愉快的)我們認爲你應該知道。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一樣,那麼你一定不想錯過這份內部人士正在購買的被低估的小型股免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。