China Merchants Energy Shipping (SHSE:601872) Stock Performs Better Than Its Underlying Earnings Growth Over Last Three Years
China Merchants Energy Shipping (SHSE:601872) Stock Performs Better Than Its Underlying Earnings Growth Over Last Three Years
While China Merchants Energy Shipping Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601872) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 11% in the last quarter. But over three years, the returns would have left most investors smiling To wit, the share price did better than an index fund, climbing 61% during that period.
儘管招商輪船的股東們可能總體上感到滿意,但該股票近期的表現並不理想,股價在上個季度下跌了11%。但是,在過去三年中,回報率讓大多數投資者面帶微笑。值得一提的是,在這一期間,股價的漲幅超過了指數基金,上漲了61%。
Since it's been a strong week for China Merchants Energy Shipping shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
由於本週對於招商輪船股東來說表現強勁,讓我們來看看長期基本面的趨勢。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
無可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務的表現。一種檢查市場情緒隨時間變化的方法是觀察公司股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。
During three years of share price growth, China Merchants Energy Shipping achieved compound earnings per share growth of 41% per year. The average annual share price increase of 17% is actually lower than the EPS growth. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat.
在股價增長的三年期間,招商輪船實現了每股收益41%的複合年增長率。每年平均股價增長17%實際上低於每股收益的增長。因此,市場似乎對增長的預期有所收斂。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以在下面看到EPS如何隨時間變化(點擊圖片可以發現具體數值)。
We know that China Merchants Energy Shipping has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? This free interactive report on China Merchants Energy Shipping's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
我們知道招商輪船在過去三年中改善了其底線,但未來將會怎樣呢?如果您想進一步研究這隻股票,這份關於招商輪船資產負債表強度的免費互動報告是一個很好的起點。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China Merchants Energy Shipping's TSR for the last 3 years was 76%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。雖然股價回報僅反映股價變化,但TSR包括分紅的價值(假設其已被再投資)以及任何折扣融資或剝離的收益。可以說,TSR提供了股票所產生回報的更全面的圖景。實際上,招商輪船過去三年的TSR爲76%,這超過了前面提到的股價回報。而且,毫無疑問,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's good to see that China Merchants Energy Shipping has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 11% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 5%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for China Merchants Energy Shipping that you should be aware of.
看到招商輪船在過去十二個月中爲股東帶來了11%的總股東回報,真是令人高興。而這包括了分紅。這個收益好於五年的年化TSR,即5%。因此,似乎最近對公司的情緒是積極的。持樂觀觀點的人可能會認爲,最近的TSR改善意味着公司的業務正在隨時間改善。我發現從長遠來看觀察股價作爲業務表現的代表非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們發現招商輪船有2個警告信號需要您警惕。
But note: China Merchants Energy Shipping may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:招商輪船可能不是最值得買入的股票。所以請查看這份有趣公司的免費名單,這些公司過去的盈利增長(以及進一步的增長預測)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。