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Musk: Tesla Aims to Produce Up to 100,000 Optimus Robots Next Year

Musk: Tesla Aims to Produce Up to 100,000 Optimus Robots Next Year

馬斯克:特斯拉計劃明年生產多達100,000個Optimus機器人
鈦媒體 ·  01/09 18:21

TMTPOST -- Tesla Inc. CEO Elon Musk presented at the CES 2025 an ambitious vision for Optimus, or Tesla Bot, the humanoid robot that Musk boasted can bring a multi-trillion-dollar opportunity for his company.

TMTPost——特斯拉公司首席執行官埃隆·馬斯克在CES 2025上提出了擎天柱(Tesla Bot)的雄心勃勃的願景,馬斯克吹噓這個人形機器人可以爲他的公司帶來數萬億美元的機會。

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Credit:Tesla

來源:特斯拉

Tesla is aiming to initially produce "several thousand of" Optimus robots this year, and then ramp up significantly, Musk told Stagwell CEO Mark Penn during a video interview at the CES show in Las Vegas. "Assuming things go well, we'll 10x that output next year (2026), so we'll aim to do maybe 50,000-100,000 humanoid robots next year, and then 10x it again the following year," Musk said in the interview.

馬斯克在拉斯維加斯CES展上接受視頻採訪時告訴Stagwell首席執行官馬克·佩恩,特斯拉的目標是今年最初生產 「數千個」 擎天柱機器人,然後大幅增加。馬斯克在接受採訪時說:「假設一切順利,明年(2026年)我們的產量將增加10倍,因此我們的目標是明年生產大約5萬至10萬個仿人機器人,然後在第二年再生產10倍。」

Musk was so optimistic that even envisioned a world where the ratio of robots to humans could reach three to five robots per person, culminating in a global presence of 20 to 30 billion robots.

馬斯克非常樂觀,甚至設想了一個機器人與人類的比例可以達到每人三到五個機器人的世界,最終全球將有20到300個機器人。

Tesla first unveiled second generation Optimus in December 2023, showing its prototype through a demo video. Optimus Gen 2 is equipped with in-house designed actuators and sensors, with ability to walk 30% faster than its predecessor. Optimus, which powered by the company's artficial intelligence (AI) technology, is currently being used in a limited capacity in Tesla's energy-storage division.

特斯拉於2023年12月首次推出了第二代擎天柱,通過演示視頻展示了其原型。Optimus Gen 2 配備了內部設計的執行器和傳感器,其行走速度比其前身快 30%。Optimus由該公司的人工智能(AI)技術提供支持,目前在特斯拉的儲能部門以有限的容量使用。

Musk said in May 2024 that Optimus' hands will be upgraded to have 22 degrees of freedom (DoF), in comparison with the previous version of just 11 DoF. That's already very close to a human's hands, which have 27 degrees of freedom. Optimus coud be ready for sale as soon as the end of 2025, Musk said at a conference call with investors the same month.

馬斯克在2024年5月表示,擎天柱的雙手將升級到22個自由度(DoF),而之前的版本只有11自由度。這已經非常接近人類的雙手了,人類有 27 個自由度。馬斯克在同月與投資者的電話會議上表示,擎天柱最快可能在2025年底準備出售。

Tesla said in June it has two Optimus robots that autonomously move around the company's office and laboratories every day. It also said it had started deploying two Optimus bots in its Gigafactory Texas, performing tasks autonomously.The tasks it was responsible for included sorting battery cells and other simple things. Tesla said it would be able to eliminate monotonous work that is boring to humans when its first-generation robot was unveiled.

特斯拉在6月表示,它有兩個擎天柱機器人,每天可以在公司的辦公室和實驗室中自主移動。它還表示,它已開始在其德克薩斯州的Gigafactory部署兩個擎天柱機器人,自動執行任務。它負責的任務包括整理電池和其他簡單的東西。特斯拉表示,當其第一代機器人問世時,它將能夠消除對人類來說無聊的單調工作。

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At the company's annual stockholder meeting in June, Musk revealed Optimus Gen 2 is being produced for $10,000 and there will be over 1,000, or a few thousand Optimus robots working at Tesla in 2025. Musk expected Optimus robots some day will perform like R2-D2 and C-3PO in "Star Wars." They could cook or clean for you, do factory work, or even teach your children, the chief executive suggested. As for shareholder value, Musk believes Optimus could be the catalyst for lifting Tesla's market cap to $25 trillion someday.

在6月份的公司年度股東大會上,馬斯克透露,擎天柱第二代的生產價格爲1萬美元,到2025年,特斯拉將有超過1,000台或幾千台擎天柱機器人在工作。馬斯克預計,擎天柱機器人有朝一日會像《星球大戰》中的 R2-D2 和 C-3PO 一樣表演。首席執行官建議,他們可以爲你做飯或打掃衛生,做工廠工作,甚至教你的孩子。至於股東價值,馬斯克認爲擎天柱有朝一日可能會成爲將特斯拉市值提高到25萬億美元的催化劑。

Musk called Optimus "the most advanced humanoid robot by a long shot" during Tesla's earnings call in late October. He said Tesla was the "only company that really has all of the ingredients necessary to scale humanoid robots." "What other companies are missing is that they're missing the AI brain, that they're missing people to really scale to very high-volume production," Musk said. "I think Optimus will ultimately be the most valuable part, so I think [it] has a good chance of being the most viable product that we made."

在10月下旬的特斯拉業績電話會議上,馬斯克稱擎天柱是 「從長遠來看最先進的人形機器人」。他說,特斯拉是 「唯一一家真正具備擴展仿人機器人所需全部要素的公司」。馬斯克說:「其他公司缺少的是他們缺少人工智能大腦,缺少真正擴大到大批量生產的人才。」「我認爲擎天柱最終將是最有價值的部分,因此我認爲 [它] 很有可能成爲我們生產的最可行的產品。」

Commenting on a video showcasing Optimus' flexible movement of hand with 22 DoF in October, Musk said the robot will "be able to play the piano, maybe even some guitar." Tesla last month released a video of its Optimus achieving a new milestone: walking autonomously outside.

馬斯克在評論一段展示擎天柱在10月份以22 DoF靈活動手的視頻時說,該機器人 「將能夠彈鋼琴,甚至可能彈吉他」。特斯拉上個月發佈了一段關於擎天柱實現新里程碑的視頻:在戶外自主行走。

Bank of America analyst John Murphy last month raised his price target on Tesla by $50 to $400 per share, citing the impact robotics technology will have on the group's upcoming fleet of Cybercabs, which are expected to launch next year. Murphy said Tesla was testing Optimus in a host of use cases, as it looked to both refine the current version and determine its final design.

美國銀行分析師約翰·墨菲上個月將特斯拉的目標股價上調了50美元,至每股400美元,理由是機器人技術將對該集團即將推出的Cybercabs車隊產生影響,該車隊預計將於明年推出。墨菲說,特斯拉正在一系列用例中測試擎天柱,因爲它既想完善當前版本,又想確定其最終設計。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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