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Sundial Growers Is Poised for a Rally Unrelated to Its Meme Status

Sundial Growers Is Poised for a Rally Unrelated to Its Meme Status

日規種植者將迎來一場與其Meme地位無關的拉力賽
InvestorPlace ·  2021/07/05 06:00

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Sundial Growers (NASDAQ:SNDL) is an attractive penny stock that also has an increasing short interest. That’s one reason that makes SNDL stock worth considering at current levels of 97 cents.

日規種植者(納斯達克股票代碼:SNDL)是一隻很有吸引力的便士股票,也有越來越多的空頭興趣。這是使SNDL股票在目前97美分的水平上值得考慮的原因之一。

Source: Jan Havlicek/shutterstock.com
來源:Jan Havlicek/Shuterstock.com

As the Reddit army continues to grow, penny stocks have remained in focus.

作為紅迪軍隊繼續增長,細價股一直是關注的焦點。

At the same time, retail investors have been targeting stocks that have a high percentage of shares shorted. The short squeeze rally has the potential to deliver multi-fold returns in a short span of time.

與此同時,散户投資者一直在瞄準做空股票比例較高的股票。這波空頭擠壓漲勢有可能在短時間內帶來數倍回報。

However, SNDL stock is not a pure speculative bet. I believe that some medium to long-term exposure can be considered to the cannabis stock. This column will highlight some of the fundamental factors that make Sundial worth considering.

然而,SNDL股票並不是純粹的投機性押注。我認為可以考慮對大麻庫存進行一些中長期接觸。本專欄將重點介紹一些使太陽表值得考慮的基本因素。


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At the onset, there are increasing hopes of Federal level legalization of cannabis in the United States. Progress on that front can spark a rally for all cannabis stocks.

一開始,人們對美國聯邦一級大麻合法化的希望越來越大。這方面的進展可能會引發所有大麻庫存的反彈。

Sundial might not have presence in the United States yet, but the company is well positioned financially for making some big investments.

日規可能還沒有進入美國,但該公司在財務上處於有利地位,可以進行一些大筆投資。

Recent estimates suggest that the global CBD market will be worth $2.7 billion in fiscal 2021. Further, the market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 51% through 2030.

最近的估計表明,2021財年全球CBD市場的價值將達到27億美元。此外,到2030年,市場預計將以51%的複合年增長率增長。

By the company’s own estimates, the global legal cannabis market is likely to be worth $47 billion by 2025.

根據該公司自己的估計,到2025年,全球合法大麻市場的價值可能達到470億美元。

Clearly, with a multi-year industry tailwind, I would be tempted to invest in a company that is positioning itself for strong growth.

顯然,憑藉多年的行業順風,我會忍不住投資於一家定位於強勁增長的公司。

Big Cash Buffer and SNDL Stock

大現金緩衝與SNDL股票

I believe that Sundial is at a growth inflection point. A key reason is the fact that the company has a cash buffer of $873.5 million. This gives it flexibility to invest in organic and inorganic growth.

我相信日規正處於成長的拐點。一個關鍵原因是該公司擁有8.735億美元的現金緩衝。這給了它投資有機和無機增長的靈活性。

Currently, Sundial has a portfolio of brands with a focus on inhalables as opposed to edibles. The company has already accelerated investment in its sales team. This will help in increasing the distribution network through Canada.

目前,Sunial擁有一系列品牌,重點放在可吸入產品上,而不是可食用產品上。該公司已經加快了對其銷售團隊的投資。這將有助於增加加拿大的分銷網絡。

Healthy revenue growth is likely in the coming quarters from the in-house brand portfolio.

未來幾個季度,來自內部品牌組合的收入可能會出現健康增長。

An important point to note is that for Q1 2021, the company’s branded cannabis sales mix was 74% of sales. As the weight of branded products increases, it’s very likely that EBITDA margin will improve.

值得注意的一點是,2021年第一季度,該公司品牌大麻的銷售組合佔銷售額的74%。隨着品牌產品的權重增加,EBITDA利潤率很可能會提高。

For Q1 2021, the company invested $96 million in cannabis related portfolio investments. This generated revenue of $15.7 million. It’s very likely that the company will continue to invest in global cannabis related opportunities.

2021年第一季度,該公司在大麻相關的證券投資中投資了9600萬美元。這帶來了1570萬美元的收入。該公司很可能會繼續投資於全球大麻相關的機會。

As a matter of fact, Sundial already has a joint venture with SAF Group. The JV intends to invest in debt, equity and hybrid instruments globally. Sundial has committed $188 million towards this JV.

事實上,太陽錶盤公司已經與日產公司成立了合資公司。SAF集團。合資公司打算在全球範圍內投資於債務、股權和混合工具。太陽錶盤公司已經承諾為這家合資企業提供1.88億美元。

Therefore, revenue from investments will accelerate in the next 12-24 months. This will support EBITDA upside and cash flow growth. As of May 2021, the company already had $76 million in marketable securities and $254 million in investments.

因此,未來12-24個月,投資收入將加速增長。這將支持EBITDA上行和現金流增長。截至2021年5月,該公司已經擁有7600萬美元的有價證券和2.54億美元的投資。

Additionally, I wouldn’t be surprised if Sundial continues to pursue acquisitions. Recently, the company acquired Inner Spirit Holdings, which has 86 stores in operation in Canada.

此外,如果Sunial繼續尋求收購,我也不會感到驚訝。最近,該公司收購了在加拿大擁有86家門店的Inside spirity Holdings。

These stores can potentially be used to expand the visibility of the company’s own brand of products. The acquisition will be completed by Q3 2021. Therefore, the impact of the acquisition on growth is likely to be visible in 2022 and beyond.

這些商店可能被用來擴大公司自有品牌產品的知名度。此次收購將於2021年第三季度完成。因此,此次收購對增長的影響可能會在2022年及以後顯現出來。

Concluding Views

結論意見

It’s possibly a make-or-break time for SNDL stock. The stock price trend largely depends on the company’s utilization of the cash buffer.

現在可能是SNDL股票成敗的關鍵時刻。股價走勢在很大程度上取決於公司對現金緩衝的利用情況。

One or two strategic investments or acquisitions that have the potential to create long-term value can send SNDL stock flying.

I am optimistic considering the company’s partnership with SAF Group and the efforts to increase its own brand visibility.

考慮到該公司與SAF集團的合作伙伴關係以及提高自身品牌知名度的努力,我持樂觀態度。

Further, strategic investments and investments in marketable securities is likely to boost recurring cash flows.

Therefore, it makes sense to remain invested in SNDL stock. I would not be surprised if the stock breaches the previous highs of $3.96 in the next few quarters.

因此,繼續投資SNDL股票是有意義的。

On the date of publication, Faisal Humayun did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在出版之日,費薩爾·胡馬雲沒有(直接或間接)持有本文提到的任何證券的頭寸。本文中表達的觀點是作者的觀點,受InvestorPlace.com發佈指南的約束。

Faisal Humayun is a senior research analyst with 12 years of industry experience in the field of credit research, equity research and financial modelling. Faisal has authored over 1,500 stock specific articles with focus on the technology, energy and commodities sector.

費薩爾·胡馬雲(Faisal Humayun)是一名高級研究分析師,在信貸研究、股票研究和金融建模領域擁有12年的行業經驗。

The post Sundial Growers Is Poised for a Rally Unrelated to Its Meme Status appeared first on InvestorPlace.

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