Opinion: 7 EV stocks with the best technical setups
Opinion: 7 EV stocks with the best technical setups
Several electric vehicle (EV) companies have come flying out of nowhere, with some doing quite well. Leading the charge is $Tesla, Inc.(TSLA.US)$, as we’ve seen a number of stocks come to life over the past 12 months. These EV stocks have been some of the best performers of the last several quarters and several years.
幾家電動汽車(EV)公司從天而降，有些公司經營得相當不錯。帶頭的是$Tesla，Inc.(TSLA.US)$在過去的12個月裏，我們看到許多股票都恢復了活力。這些電動汽車股票在過去幾個季度和幾年中一直是表現最好的股票之一。
It’s got some investors confused, given the low valuations that tend to accompany the automotive sector. At the same time, it’s got other investors excited about what the future may hold.
這讓一些投資者感到困惑，因為汽車行業往往伴隨着較低的估值。與此同時，它也讓其他投資者對未來可能發生的事情感到興奮。
Tesla has seen its market cap balloon, rallying over 600% from the March 2020 low. Even traditional auto stocks have gotten in on the action, while a bevy of SPACs and IPOs have come to the market.
特斯拉的市值已經膨脹，從2020年3月的低點反彈了600%以上。即使是傳統的汽車股也加入了這一行動，而一大批SPAC和IPO也進入了市場。
Despite the nasty bear market we’ve seen in growth stocks, we’re seeing some nice rebounds in the EV space. Let’s look at seven EV stocks with the best technicals, starting with you know who:
儘管我們在成長型股票中看到了糟糕的熊市，但我們看到電動汽車領域出現了一些不錯的反彈。讓我們來看看7只技術面最好的電動汽車股票，從你知道誰開始：
EV Stocks With Great Technicals: Tesla (TSLA)
技術含量高的電動汽車股票：特斯拉(特斯拉)
$Tesla, Inc.(TSLA.US)$ leads the pack when it comes to EV stocks and that’s true for the charts, too. While Tesla’s market capitalization of $634 billion is notably below its high, the technicals are starting to line up again.
$Tesla，Inc.(TSLA.US)$當談到電動汽車股票時，它處於領先地位，圖表也是如此。儘管特斯拉6,340億美元的市值明顯低於其高點，但技術面開始再次看好。
I kept looking for one last flush in this one and it never came to fruition. In early March, Tesla stock bottomed near $540. The rebound sent shares to the $700 zone, then the gap-fill measure near $781.
我一直在尋找這一次的最後一次同花順，但從來沒有結果。3月初，特斯拉的股價跌至接近540美元的底部。這一反彈將股價推高至700美元區域，隨後填補缺口的指標接近781美元。
Upon another retreat, shares bottomed near $547, above the March low. That’s notable as many other growth and EV stocks went on to make new lows. Ultimately Tesla has reclaimed all of its major daily moving averages and continues to consolidate in a rather tight range.
在另一次回落後，股價跌至接近547美元的底部，在上面三月的低點。這一點值得注意，因為許多其他成長型和電動汽車類股繼續創下新低。最終，特斯拉收回了所有主要的日均線，並繼續在相當窄的區間內盤整。
From here, we either need to see a pullback into some of these key moving averages or a push toward $700. Above $700 opens the door to the $762 to $781 area. Above that and $800-plus is possible.
從現在開始，我們要麼需要看到這些關鍵移動均線的回調，要麼需要看到向700美元的推進。700美元上方開啟了762-781美元區域的大門。超過這個數字，就有可能超過800美元。
If there’s going to be a rebound in EVs, it’s going to start with Tesla.
如果電動汽車市場要出現反彈，那就得從特斯拉開始。
Nio (NIO)
蔚來(蔚來)
That said, $NIO Inc.(NIO.US)$ is no slouch either. Unlike Tesla, Nio did make a new low in May. However, it wasn’t by much.
也就是説，$蔚來。(NIO.US)$也不是沒精打採的。與特斯拉不同，蔚來做5月份再創新低。然而，這並不是很大的差距。
It gave what many of us call a “look below and fail.” That is, it looked below a key level — in this case, the prior low — and “failed” to break down. It ended up reversing higher and just recently cleared the key $50 level.
它給了我們許多人所説的“向下看，然後失敗”。也就是説，它看起來低於一個關鍵水平--在這種情況下，是先前的低點--並未能突破。它最終逆轉走高，最近剛剛突破了50美元的關鍵水平。
Already up a sizable amount from the May low, investors may not know what to expect. From here, let’s see if Nio can push higher up to the 61.8% retracement near $53.
已經從5月份的低點上漲了相當多的投資者可能不知道會發生什麼。從這裏開始，讓我們看看蔚來能否推高至53美元附近的61.8%回檔位。
If shares can build above $50 and eventually clear the 61.8% retracement, the gap-fill level at $58.65 is in play. On the downside, I want to see the 10-day and 21-day moving averages act as support. Below puts the $43 to $44 area on the table.
如果股價能夠升至50美元上方，並最終突破61.8%的回檔位，則58.65美元的填補缺口水平正在發揮作用。下行方面，我希望看到10日和21日移動均線起到支撐作用。下面將43美元至44美元的區域放在桌面上。
If Tesla is going to go for a run, it’s likely that its “little brother” Nio will be in a similar position. However, I would expect a little more volatility with this one.
如果特斯拉要出去跑步，它的“小兄弟”蔚來很可能也會處於類似的境地。然而，我預計這一次會有更多的波動性。
EV Stocks With Great Technicals: Ford (F)
技術含量高的電動汽車股票：福特(Ford)
Shifting gears here a bit, $Ford Motor Co(F.US)$ is far from a pure play on the EV space. For decades, the company has been a producer of internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles and only recently began making a push into electrifying its fleet. However, it’s doing so with some major commitment.
在這裏稍微換一下檔次，$福特汽車公司(F.US)$遠不是純電動汽車領域的遊戲。幾十年來，該公司一直是內燃機(ICE)汽車的生產商，直到最近才開始推動其車隊電氣化。然而，它這樣做是帶着一些重大承諾的。
The company has already used its Mustang brand to bring an electric vehicle to market. Now it turns to America’s best-selling vehicle, the F-Series pickup, and adding the F-150 Lightning. There is a lot of promise in adding an electric pickup to its lineup and Ford hopes it will give its top and bottom line a nice jolt.
該公司已經使用其野馬品牌將一款電動汽車推向市場。現在，它轉向了美國最暢銷的F系列皮卡，並增加了F-150閃電。在其陣容中增加一款電動皮卡有很大的希望，福特希望它能給它的頂線和底線帶來很好的震動。
So far, Wall Street seems quite receptive to it.
到目前為止，華爾街似乎對此相當接受。
When I look at Ford stock, I see a large bullish pennant formation. That’s defined by a series of lower highs and higher lows, as the stock consolidates its recent gains. From here, bulls are looking for an upside breakout over downtrend resistance (blue line).
當我看着福特的股票時，我看到了一個巨大的看漲旗幟。這是由一系列較低的高點和較高的低點定義的，因為該股鞏固了最近的漲幅。從這裏，多頭正在尋找突破下行趨勢阻力(藍線)的上行突破。
It may need to chop around $15 some more, but an eventual breakout could put the highs back in play at $16.45. Above that and the 261.8% extension near $17.50 could be on the table.
它可能還需要再砍掉大約15美元，但最終突破可能會讓16.45美元的高點重新發揮作用。在此之上，261.8%的延期可能會在17.5美元附近擺在桌面上。
If shares break down instead of break out, the 10-week moving average is the first line of support. That’s followed by the key $13.50 level and the 50-day moving average.
如果股票崩盤降下來10周移動均線切入位不是突破，而是一線支撐。緊隨其後的是關鍵的13.50美元水平和50日移動均線。
General Motors (GM)
通用汽車(General Motors)
Like Ford, $General Motors Co(GM.US)$ is an old-time automaker trying to make the pivot toward electrification. The company has also done pretty well in its autonomous driving efforts with its Cruise unit. CEO Mary Barra hasn’t shied away from the automotive future and it’s given the stock a nice boost over the past year.
就像福特一樣，$通用汽車(通用汽車美國)$是一家老牌汽車製造商，正試圖轉向電氣化。該公司在其Cruise部門的自動駕駛努力中也做得相當好。首席執行官瑪麗·巴拉並沒有迴避汽車的未來，這在過去一年裏給該公司的股票帶來了很好的提振。
Rather than looking at a daily chart like the preceding EV stocks on this list, let’s zoom out a bit with the weekly chart. Once we do, it becomes evident that GM stock is channel-bound as it slowly but surely grinds higher.
與其像這個列表上前面的電動汽車股票那樣看日線圖，不如讓我們用周線圖縮小一點。一旦我們這樣做了，很明顯，通用汽車的股票是受渠道限制的，因為它緩慢但肯定地走高。
Right now, GM is holding the 10-week moving average and trying for a weekly-up rotation by clearing the prior week’s high. If that doesn’t happen, it’s okay. It still has the 21-week moving average and channel support as potential dip-buy zones.
目前，通用汽車正在守住10周移動均線，並試圖通過清除前一週的高點來進行一週的輪換。如果這種情況沒有發生，那也沒關係。它仍有21周移動均線和通道支撐作為潛在的下探買入區。
On the upside, bulls want to see a rally up to the 161.8% extension near $67 and to channel resistance. Above opens the door to $70-plus.
利好方面，多頭希望看到67美元附近161.8%的漲勢，並引導阻力位。上方打開了通向70美元以上的大門。
Should support fail, the $50 area and the 50-week moving average could be on the table.
如果支撐失敗，50美元區域和50周移動均線切入位可能擺在桌面上。
EV Stocks With Great Technicals: XPeng (XPEV)
技術含量高的電動汽車股票：小鵬汽車-W(XPEV)
I think investors would be pretty impressed with how well some of the Chinese EV stocks are trading. Granted, many of these names were crushed during the growth-stock bear market, but a handful are making a strong recovery. In that group, we can include $XPeng Inc.(XPEV.US)$.
我認為，一些中國電動汽車股票的交易表現會給投資者留下相當深刻的印象。誠然，這些公司中的許多在成長型股票熊市期間遭到重創，但也有少數公司正在強勁復甦。在這一組中，我們可以包括$小鵬汽車-W公司(XPEV.US)$.
The company currently commands a $35 billion market cap and trades on the NYSE after coming public in August 2020. While we saw a peak-to-trough decline of 69.5%, the rebound has been strong as shares are now back above all of its major moving averages.
該公司目前市值350億美元，2020年8月上市後在紐約證交所上市。雖然我們看到從峯頂到谷底的跌幅為69.5%，但反彈一直很強勁，因為股價現在回到了所有主要移動均線之上。
Amid that decline, the stock gave us a “1-2-3-4-5” or if you prefer, an “A-B-C-D-E” decline. As shares bottomed at $22.73, XPEV also showed some divergence on the Williams %R reading (shown at the top of the chart).
在那次下跌中，該股給了我們“1-2-3-4-5”或者如果你喜歡，“A-B-C-D-E”的下跌。隨着股價跌至22.73美元的底部，XPEV在Williams%R讀數上也出現了一些分歧(如圖表頂部所示)。
From here, I want to see a rotation through $45.25, opening up the 50% retracement and $50 level. Above that and the 61.8% retracement is on the table near $55.
從這裏，我希望看到45.25美元的輪換，打開50%回檔位和50美元的水平。在此上方，61.8%回檔位在55美元附近。
On the downside, I want the short-term moving averages to act as support. If they fail, it’s important to see that the 200-day buoys the stock and that the 50-day moving average turns from prior resistance into current support.
不利的一面是，我希望短期移動均線能起到支撐作用。如果他們失敗了，重要的是要看到200日移動均線提振了股票，50日移動均線從之前的阻力位變成了當前的支撐位。
Li Auto (LI)
理想汽車-W(李娜)
Dare I say $li Auto Inc.(LI.US)$ is the best-trading EV stock right now? Shares have been on fire since bottoming in early May, rising in eight straight weeks since hitting bottom. Up roughly 95% and it’s clear that this stock is leading the current charge.
我敢説$理想汽車-W公司(LI.US)$目前交易最好的電動汽車股票是嗎？自5月初觸底以來，股價一直火爆，自觸底以來已連續8週上漲。上漲了大約95%，很明顯，這隻股票在目前的潮流中處於領先地位。
The 10-day moving average continues to guide Li Auto higher, as shares have now cruised through the 50% retracement measures.
10日移動均線切入位繼續引導理想汽車-W走高，目前股價已順利通過50%回檔位。
Into the 61.8% retracement now and I would love to see a mild pullback from here. Perhaps down to the 10-day moving average and the $30 to $31 area. That would allow the stock to cool off a bit and consolidate its gains while keeping the overall trend intact.
現在進入61.8%的回調，我希望看到從現在開始的温和回調。或許會跌至10日移動均線和30-31美元區域。這將使該股略有降温，鞏固漲幅，同時保持整體趨勢不變。
Above $35 and the $37 level is next in line, which saw resistance in January and also comes into play near the 2021 highs. Note that Li Auto didn’t make new highs in February like most EV and growth stocks. Instead, it was already breaking down — it was the canary in the coal mine.
在35美元上方，37美元是下一個趨勢，該水平在1月份遭遇阻力，也在2021年高點附近發揮作用。請注意，理想汽車-W並沒有像大多數電動汽車和成長股那樣在2月份創下新高。相反，它已經崩潰了--它是煤礦裏的金絲雀。
Above $37 puts the 78.6% retracement on the table.
37美元上方將78.6%回檔位擺在桌面上。
EV Stocks With Great Technicals: Fisker (FSR)
技術含量高的電動汽車股票：菲斯克(Fisker)
$FISKER INC.(FSR.US)$ is evidently trying to give Li Auto a run for its money. It too has been trading incredibly well. Shares have rallied in six of the past seven weeks and at the recent high, were up about 75% from the May low.
$Fisker Inc.(FSR.US)$這顯然是想和理想汽車-W較量一番。它的交易也令人難以置信地好。股價在過去七週中有六週出現反彈，在最近的高點，較5月份的低點上漲了約75%。
Those observations barely trail Li Auto and still leave Fisker in a pretty good position. However, the technical setup is a little more specific with this one.
那些觀察到的勉強落後於理想汽車-W，仍然讓菲斯克處於一個相當好的位置。然而，這一次的技術設置更具體一些。
At the time of this writing, it’s June 30, which means a new monthly candle is about to set as we enter July. If Fisker shares can continue higher, I want to see the stock take out the June high at $20.61 and give bulls a monthly-up rotation.
在寫這篇文章的時候，是6月30日，這意味着當我們進入7月時，新的月度蠟燭即將落下。如果菲斯克的股價能夠繼續走高，我希望看到該股跌破6月份的高點20.61美元，並讓多頭每月輪流上漲。
In that event, it could open up to the $23 to $24 area or higher.
在這種情況下，它可能會打開到23美元至24美元或更高的區域。
If we don’t get a monthly-up rotation, that’s okay. Instead, we can look for a pullback too. Specifically, there are some nice bounces off the 21-week moving average, with support in play near $17.
如果我們不能按月輪換，那也沒關係。相反，我們也可以期待回調。具體地説，21周移動均線有一些不錯的反彈，支撐位在17美元附近。
If we get a pullback down into the 21-week and 10-week moving averages, I would consider that a potential buying opportunity at the moment. A break of $16.50 likely creates an issue for the bulls though and could put the 50-week moving average on the table.
如果我們回調至21周和10周移動均線，我會認為目前這是一個潛在的買入機會。不過，突破16.50美元可能會給多頭帶來麻煩，可能會讓50周移動均線擺在桌面上。
On the date of publication, Bret Kenwell did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.
截至發稿之日，佈雷特·肯威爾並未(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文表達的觀點是作者的觀點，以InvestorPlace.com為準出版指南.
Bret Kenwell is the manager and author of <i><span>Future Blue Chips</span></i> and is on Twitter <i><span>@BretKenwell</span></i>.
佈雷特·肯威爾是該公司的經理，著有未來藍籌股並在推特上@BretKenwell.
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