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3 Most-Shorted Stocks Sporting Classic Buy Patterns

3 Most-Shorted Stocks Sporting Classic Buy Patterns

3種賣空最多的股票體育經典買入模式
InvestorPlace ·  2021/07/12 11:33

It’s was a bumpy week in more than a few places on Wall Street. And that includes many of the market’s most-shorted stocks. More importantly, in select well-traded stocks with above-average short-interest, the sum total of those wild ups and downs are big-time chart patterns in position to buy as we’ll explore below.

華爾街很多地方都經歷了坎坷的一週。這包括許多市場上做空最嚴重的股票。更重要的是,在一些交易良好、空頭利率高於平均水平的股票中,這些劇烈漲跌的總和是可以買入的大時間圖表模式,我們將在下面進行探索。

You wouldn’t know it looking at the cumulative total of four days of trading with blue-chip indices hoovering near flat performances for the period. But the shortened holiday week has been volatile under the surface.

看看這四個交易日的累計表現,藍籌股指數在此期間的表現接近持平,你就不會知道這一點。但縮短的假期周在表面下一直是不穩定的。

Worries over economic growth and plummeting bond yields dismantled broader market trend support built over the past month during Thursday’s session. It also produced the largest losses for the broader averages since June’s slightly more aggravated and quickly forgotten assault on Wall Street’s reinvented Roaring 20s bull market.

對經濟增長和債券收益率暴跌的擔憂,瓦解了過去一個月在週四的交易中建立的更廣泛的市場趨勢支撐。這也是自6月份華爾街重塑的20多歲牛市遭受略微更嚴重、很快被遺忘的攻擊以來,更廣泛的平均水平的最大損失。

Unsurprisingly, fears proved bearishly inescapable for many of the market’s most-shorted stocks. It was a chance for larger bear populations to take advantage of having the wind at their back. And dings to price charts of large-caps with high-dollar short-interest such as Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) are a testament to that determination. Well, kinda sorta.

不出所料,事實證明,對市場上許多做空最嚴重的股票來説,悲觀的擔憂是不可避免的。對於更多的熊來説,這是一個機會,可以利用背後的風。以及對大盤股和美元空頭利率較高的大盤股的價格圖的調整,如特斯拉(納斯達克:特拉斯)和先進微器件(納斯達克:AMD)證明瞭這一決心。嗯,有點像。

  • Virgin Galactic (NYSE:SPCE)

  • AMC (NYSE:AMC)

  • Carvana (NYSE:CVNA)

  • 維珍銀河紐約證券交易所代碼:空間)

  • AMC紐約證券交易所代碼:AMC)

  • Carvana紐約證券交易所代碼:CVNA)

But today is today. And once again a lasting surrender doesn’t appear to be in the skillset of Wall Street’s bullish base. If you can’t beat them, join them? Maybe not. Still, when it comes to the market’s most-shorted stocks, today there are three popular names to ride that optimistic determination backed by classic corrective bases.

但今天就是今天。而且,華爾街看漲的基礎似乎再一次不具備持久投降的能力。如果你不能打敗他們,那就加入他們?也許不會。儘管如此,當談到市場上做空最多的股票時,今天有三個受歡迎的名字可以利用經典修正基礎支持的樂觀決心。

Most-Shorted Stocks to Buy: Virgin Galactic (SPCE)

最看空的股票:維珍銀河(Virgin Galaxy)

Source: Charts by TradingView

來源:TradingView圖表

The first of our well-traded and most-shorted stocks to buy is Sir Richard Branson’s Virgin Galactic with short-interest of 22%. In late June SPCE shares received a rocket-like booster of 39% following critical FAA licensing which allows Virgin Galactic to fly passengers 50 miles into orbit.

我們首先買入的是理查德·布蘭森爵士(Sir Richard Branson)的維珍銀河(Virgin Galaxy)股票,空頭利率為22%,這是我們交易最好、做空最多的股票。6月下旬,在美國聯邦航空局(FAA)批准維珍銀河(Virgin Galaxy)允許乘客將乘客送入50英里的軌道後,SPCE的股價獲得了39%的火箭式提振。

The clearance  sets the stage for an expected start to Virgin’s commercial operations in early 2022 after development delays the past couple years. I suppose we’ll have to wait and see if that goal is met. But as investors in SPCE stock right now, the space tourism operator’s shares show a launch-ready price chart.

在過去幾年的開發延遲之後,這一許可為維珍航空預計將於2022年初開始商業運營奠定了基礎。我想我們得等着看這個目標是否實現了。但作為SPCE股票的投資者,這家太空旅遊運營商的股票顯示出一張隨時可以發射的價格圖。

Technically, this most-shorted stock is stationed in the upper right side of a large and deep corrective cup-shaped base. With action since the FAA announcement forming a wide, but well-supported handle consolidation, SPCE stock has “the right stuff” to break out to new all-time-highs.

從技術上講,這隻做空最多的股票駐紮在一個大而深的杯狀修正基座的右上方。自美國聯邦航空局宣佈以來,隨着行動形成了一個廣泛但得到良好支持的句柄整合,SPCE的股票有了“合適的材料”,可以突破歷史新高。

Wait on a handle breakout accompanied by a stochastics crossover. If those conditions are met, then consider an intermediate-dated, slightly out-of-the-money bull call spread for out-of-this-world returns and unparalleled safety.

等待一個手柄突破,伴隨着一個隨機交叉。如果滿足了這些條件,那麼考慮一下中期看漲期權,稍微有點超乎常人的看漲期權,以獲得超乎尋常的回報和無與倫比的安全性。

AMC (AMC)

AMC(AMC)

Source: Charts by TradingView

來源:TradingView圖表

AMC is the next of our well-traded and most-shorted stocks to buy. AMC stock’s short-interest isn’t the highest out there at roughly 17%. It’s still up there though. And undeniably, the more than $5 billion in short stock wagering against the theater chain does make it one of the largest shorts in the market on a dollar basis.

AMC是我們下一隻交易良好、做空最多的股票。AMC股票的空頭利率並不是最高的,約為17%。不過,它還在上面。不可否認,針對這家連鎖影院的超過50億美元的做空股票賭注確實使其成為市場上按美元計算最大的賣空機構之一。

Most recently, a move by CEO Adam Aron to placate his meme-trading Reddit base and scuttle a secondary backfired. And it wasn’t without just cause. Mr. Aron’s “I see you, I hear you, I value you” decision nixed AMC’s ability to extinguish its remaining debt and build its cash war chest.

最近,首席執行官亞當·阿倫(Adam Aron)安撫他在Reddit上交易表情包的基礎,並破壞了第二次收購,結果適得其反。這不是沒有正當理由的。阿倫的“我看到你,我聽到你,我看重你”的決定否定了AMC消除剩餘債務和建立現金儲備的能力。

Today is today though. This is a forward-looking market that’s putting together a very bullish corrective double-bottom pattern in AMC. My thoughts are bullish investors will be cheering wildly in the near future.

不過,今天就是今天。這是一個具有前瞻性的市場,AMC正在形成一個非常看漲的修正雙底模式。我的想法是看漲投資者在不久的將來會瘋狂歡呼。

With stochastics oversold and bullishly-positioned, a nearby daily chart confirmation of the pattern’s second pivot low is the matinee ticket for a solid-looking seat in front of the breakout crowd. Should that occur, I’d go with an August $50/$60 bull call spread in lieu of buying this most-shorted stock.

隨着隨機指數的超賣和看漲,附近的日線圖確認了該模式的第二個支點低點,這是在突破人羣面前獲得一個看起來堅實的座位的日場門票。如果發生這種情況,我會選擇8月份50美元/60美元的看漲期權價差,而不是購買這隻做空最多的股票。

Most-Shorted Stocks to Buy: Carvana (CVNA)

買入做空最多的股票:卡瓦那(Carvana)

Source: Charts by TradingView

來源:TradingView圖表

The last of our well-traded, most-shorted stocks to buy is Carvana. About 24% of CVNA’s shares are currently shorted representing nearly $5 billion in bets against the e-commerce auto dealer. And with average daily volume of about 1.55 million shares, CVNA’s days-to-cover ratio stands at a very steep 11 days.

我們最後買入的交易量最大、做空最多的股票是Carvana。CVNA目前約有24%的股票被做空,相當於做空這家電商汽車經銷商的押注近50億美元。由於日均成交量約為155萬股,CVNA的天數與覆蓋率處於非常陡峭的11天。

Do the bears know something? Obviously, with Covid-19 almost in the rearview mirror this most-shorted stock may appear like a lay-up for bears. Everyone wants to walk unmasked through the doors of their neighborhood auto dealer again, right? And that would be bad news for this most-shorted stock if it were true.

熊知道什麼嗎?顯然,隨着新冠肺炎(Sequoia Capital)幾乎成為後視鏡,這隻做空最多的股票可能看起來像是空頭的上籃。每個人都想再次赤裸裸地走進他們附近的汽車經銷商的大門,對嗎?如果這是真的,那麼對於這隻做空最多的股票來説,這將是個壞消息。

But things are rarely so simple. And right now there’s the wild card of a global new car shortage that’s benefiting Carvana.

但事情很少會這麼簡單。目前,全球新車短缺的未知數正在造福於卡瓦那(Carvana)。

Technically and today, there’s also a nice-looking confirmed handle breakout within a large, slightly-flawed double-bottom base that should be of significant help to this most-shorted stock’s bullish investors.

從技術上和今天來看,在一個大的、略有缺陷的雙底基數內,也有一個漂亮的確認把手突破,這應該會對這隻做空最多的股票的看漲投資者有很大幫助。

My advice is go ahead and park some capital in an August $330/$350 bull call spread for leveraged upside potential and avoiding the risk of becoming a crash-test dummy.

我的建議是,繼續在8月份330美元/350美元的看漲價差中投入一些資金,以獲得槓桿上行潛力,並避免成為崩盤測試假人的風險。

On the date of publication, Chris Tyler holds (either directly or indirectly) positions in Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and their derivatives. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

發表之日起,克里斯·泰勒(直接或間接)在先進微設備公司(AMD)及其衍生品公司任職。本文中表達的觀點是作者的觀點,受InvestorPlace.com發佈指南的約束。

Chris Tyler is a former floor-based, derivatives market maker on the American and Pacific exchanges. For additional market insights and related musings, follow Chris on Twitter @Options_CAT and StockTwits.

克里斯·泰勒(Chris Tyler)是美國和太平洋交易所(American And Pacific Exchange)前場內衍生品做市商。有關更多市場洞察和相關思考,請在Twitter@Options_cat和StockTwits上關注Chris。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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